The invention discloses a
power transmission line microtopography
icing risk early warning method and
system, and relates to the technical field of
power transmission line monitoring, and the method comprises the steps: dividing a
power transmission line region, collecting multi-
source data, carrying out the
processing, analyzing the related parameters of a power
transmission line, analyzing the influence of the microtopography on the power
transmission line, and extracting the
icing features of the data; the method comprises the following steps: constructing an
icing probability model and an icing severity model by adopting XGBoost, optimizing a training weight and calculating a calibration
score through historical icing data, calculating the calibration
score in combination with a weighted PAV fitting non-drop function, carrying out optimization training on the icing
probability model, and calculating a load
utilization rate based on the icing severity to judge the risk of the power
transmission line. According to the method, the icing feature
system is constructed through fusion of multi-scale
terrain and meteorological factors, the power transmission line is analyzed from the micro-
terrain scale, an equivalent regression calibration
mechanism based on
verification external prediction is introduced, the icing
probability model is optimized, and the credibility and stability of a prediction result are remarkably improved.