Method and device for predicting infectious disease trend based on imported cases

A technology for infectious diseases and cases, applied in the direction of epidemic alert systems, medical informatics, computer-aided medical procedures, etc., can solve the problems that do not consider the prediction, reduce the accuracy of infectious disease prediction, and cannot adapt to the prediction of infectious disease infection, etc. , to improve the accuracy of

Active Publication Date: 2021-02-02
YIDU CLOUD (BEIJING) TECH CO LTD
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  • Abstract
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  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0004] In related technologies, when predicting the epidemic data based on the above model, the prediction of imported cases is not considered, and the epidemic is predicted only based on the infection data in the target area, which cannot adapt to the prediction of infectious disease infection in some complex situations, reducing the The accuracy of infectious disease prediction

Method used

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  • Method and device for predicting infectious disease trend based on imported cases
  • Method and device for predicting infectious disease trend based on imported cases
  • Method and device for predicting infectious disease trend based on imported cases

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Embodiment Construction

[0031] Example embodiments will now be described more fully with reference to the accompanying drawings. Example embodiments may, however, be embodied in many forms and should not be construed as limited to the examples set forth herein; rather, these embodiments are provided so that this disclosure will be thorough and complete and will fully convey the concept of example embodiments to those skilled in the art.

[0032] Furthermore, the described features, structures, or characteristics may be combined in any suitable manner in one or more embodiments. In the following description, numerous specific details are provided in order to give a thorough understanding of embodiments of the present disclosure. However, those skilled in the art will appreciate that the technical solutions of the present disclosure may be practiced without one or more of the specific details, or other methods, components, means, steps, etc. may be employed. In other instances, well-known methods, ap...

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Abstract

Embodiments of the present disclosure provide a method and device for predicting infectious disease trends based on imported cases. The method includes: for the target infectious disease, predicting the number of people in the incubation period input from the external area to the target area; based on the number of people in the incubation period input into the target area and the missed detection rate of the intervention measures, determining the number of people entering the incubation period in the target area after intervention Number of people: based on the number of people entering the incubation period of the target area after intervention, historical epidemic data and the preset infectious disease model of the target infectious disease, predict the epidemic data of the target area in the future. In the present disclosure, when predicting the epidemic data, the input data of external regions and the impact of intervention measures are integrated to improve the accuracy of infectious disease prediction.

Description

technical field [0001] The present disclosure relates to the technical field of medical data processing, in particular, to a method, device, storage medium and electronic equipment for predicting infectious disease trends based on input cases. Background technique [0002] The infectious disease model is based on the study of the transmission speed, spatial scope, transmission route, and dynamic mechanism of infectious diseases, and is used to guide the effective prevention and control of infectious diseases. [0003] In the infectious disease model SEIR, the population is infected in the order of the susceptible period (Susceptible, S), the latent period (Exposed, E), the infectious period (Infectious, I) and the removal period (Remove, R). [0004] In related technologies, when predicting the epidemic data based on the above model, the prediction of imported cases is not considered, and the epidemic is predicted only based on the infection data in the target area, which ca...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & AuthorityPatents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G16H50/80
CPCG16H50/80
Inventor焦增涛
OwnerYIDU CLOUD (BEIJING) TECH CO LTD