Method for predicting cycle life of lithium ion battery based on NSDP-AR (AutoRegressive) model
A lithium-ion battery and AR model technology, applied in the direction of measuring electricity, measuring devices, measuring electrical variables, etc., can solve the problem of poor prediction ability of battery capacity nonlinear degradation characteristics, and achieve the effect of improving prediction ability and optimizing prediction effect
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specific Embodiment approach 1
[0025] Specific implementation mode one: see figure 1 Describe this embodiment, the lithium-ion battery cycle life prediction method based on the NSDP-AR model described in this embodiment is:
[0026] Step 1: According to the AR model of the lithium-ion battery to be predicted Predict the capacity of the lithium-ion battery to be predicted, and obtain the capacity prediction sequence ARpredict;
[0027] in is the autoregressive coefficient, p is the optimal model order, a t ,t=0,±1,… are mutually independent white noise sequences with a mean of 0 and a variance of normal distribution of
[0028] Step 2: According to the capacity prediction sequence ARpredict obtained in step 1, extract the approximate life cycle percentage kp' sequence;
[0029] Step 3: Before the lithium-ion battery to be predicted is put into online use, carry out the charging and discharging test of the offline test platform on the simulated online condition for each battery in the fitting group, a...
specific Embodiment approach 2
[0043] Specific implementation mode two: see figure 2 Describe this embodiment, this embodiment is a further limitation to the specific embodiment one, the AR model of the lithium-ion battery to be predicted in the first step The build method is:
[0044] Step 11: Obtain the optimal model order p of the AR model;
[0045] Step 1 and 2: Autoregressive coefficient of AR model fusion of
[0046] Select the Yule-Wallker method and the Burg method to independently obtain the model coefficients, and then perform dynamic linear combination to output the final coefficient results;
[0047] Step 13: According to the optimal model order p obtained in step 11 and the autoregressive coefficient obtained in step 12 Build an AR model of the lithium-ion battery to be predicted.
specific Embodiment approach 3
[0048] Specific implementation mode three: see image 3 Describe this embodiment, this embodiment is the further limitation to specific embodiment two, the method for obtaining the optimal model order p of AR model in described step one by one is:
[0049] Step A: Extract the historical capacity data F of the lithium-ion battery to be predicted as the original data input for order judgment;
[0050] Step B: Standardize historical capacity data F to obtain standardized data Y:
[0051] Step C: judging whether the standardized data Y is suitable for AR modeling;
[0052] Step D: Judge the model order of the AR model according to the AIC criterion, and obtain the optimal order p.
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