The invention discloses a quantitative calculation method for analyzing injection-production dynamic response by using
time sequence interference. The quantitative calculation method comprises the following steps: S1, acquiring
time sequence data of output and water
injection rate; s2, taking the change of the water
injection rate as an intervention event, and establishing a virtual interference variable; s3, taking the
oil well output as a target variable and substituting the target variable and the virtual interference variable in the S2 into an SARMAX
time sequence model for fitting; s4, judging the significance degree of the model by using the residual error of the model, and if the residual error is a random time sequence, ending; if the residual sequence of the model is non-
white noise, going to S5; s5, determining autoregression and
moving average orders by using an ARMA (p, q) model; s6, substituting order information into the model in the S3 for re-fitting; and S7, repeating the steps S3-S6 until the model is significant. The method can quantitatively evaluate the influence degree of the
injection well on the output. Quantifiable data are provided for evaluation of production and injection dynamic influences in oil reservoir
dynamic management, reasonable injection and production adjustment countermeasures are formulated accordingly, oil reservoir production
dynamic management is guided, and the oilfield exploitation effect is guaranteed.