The invention relates to a method for monitoring and regulating a technical
plant process, in particular an industrial manufacturing process for producing a product, in which - a profile representing the variation over time of at least one process parameter (P) such as pressure, temperature, geometric and / or optical features and
energy consumption is recorded, - a momentary state of the process (Zi) is continuously determined on the basis of the at least one process parameter (P) such that a profile of states of the process (Zi) is obtained, wherein a respective state of the process (Zi) is a an indicator of the quality of the
plant process or of a product produced by the
plant process, - a trained model (M), which includes a probability matrix (W) which indicates probabilities (Wij) for a change of state (Zij) between different states of the process (Z), is used for the plant process, - a transition probability (Wij) for the change of state of the momentary state of the process ( Zi) into another state of the process (Zj) is determined on the basis of the model (M) and - a measure for achieving a predefined target variable (X) when the plant process is being carried out is initiated on the basis of the momentary state of the process (Zi) and the determined transition probability (Wij).