The invention relates to the technical field of risk analysis, in particular to a water conservancy project
risk assessment method based on
big data, which comprises the following steps: acquiring deformation and
water level signals and converting the signals into a sequence, generating an original monitoring sequence based on a
timestamp, identifying a whole process span and intercepting and generating a periodic
data set, generating a complete monitoring sequence by using interpolation filling, constructing a
water level displacement closed curve, calculating a vector product difference value to obtain a geometric area, calculating an arithmetic mean value to generate a
centroid coordinate, obtaining a dissipated energy increase coefficient and a structure permanent deformation cumulant, and generating an
evaluation result based on threshold comparison. According to the method, the two-dimensional
phase space model is established, the structure response is converted into the closed trajectory curve, the
hysteresis loop area and
centroid offset are calculated, energy dissipation and deformation accumulation of the structure under
cyclic loading are quantitatively represented, abnormal plastic damage is effectively stripped, and early recognition of the potential irreversible damage risk of the structure is achieved.