Operation schedule creating method, operation schedule creating apparatus, and operation schedule creating program

Abstract

The invention provides an operation schedule creating method, an operation schedule creating apparatus, and an operation schedule creating program. A demand-supply scenario creating unit (122) creates a plurality of scenarios that indicate possibilities of transition of a demand-supply power difference value that may occur in a given condition. An optimum evaluation value calculation unit (123) calculates an operation schedule wherein a first evaluation value, which is the best evaluation value that can be achieved upon operation of a storage battery, can be achieved, for each of the plurality of scenarios. A revised evaluation value calculation unit (124) calculates, for each of a plurality of operation schedule candidates, a second evaluation value that is obtained when operating the storage battery with the above-mentioned operation schedule for each of the scenarios. A responding-ability calculation unit (125) calculates, for each of the plurality of operation schedule candidates, the difference between the first evaluation value and the second evaluation value for each of the scenarios. An optimum schedule selecting unit (126) selects, on the basis of the difference, an operation schedule for the storage battery from among the plurality of operation schedule candidates.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to an operation plan creation method, an operation plan creation device, and an operation plan creation program. Background technique [0002] At present, it is recognized that countermeasures against global environmental problems are issues on a global scale. As such countermeasures, the use of natural energy such as solar power generation has attracted attention. Since solar power generation is easily affected by the weather and its output is unstable, various studies have been conducted on its effective use. [0003] As a method of coping with the instability of solar power generation, there is a method of using other types of distributed power sources such as storage batteries and fuel cells according to an operation plan. This operation plan is, for example, a control parameter for appropriately controlling discharge from a storage battery with a limited capacity. For example, when using a peak-cut method of discha...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

If the remaining capacity of the battery is less than expected due to such a deviation, the battery may not be able to cope with weather fluctuations

In addition, in this method, the comprehensive evaluation value obtained by weighting the evaluation value of the predicted deviation pattern according to the probability of occurrence and the evaluation value when the prediction is accurate is used, so for example, if the overall evaluation value is higher than the evaluation value when the prediction is accurate, Then the consideration of the evaluation value of the prediction deviation from the mode is relatively reduced

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