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Electric transmission line forest fire grade forecasting method based on five factors

A transmission line and factor technology, applied in the field of high-level forecasting, can solve the problems of transmission line tripping, endangering industrial production and people's lives, affecting normal power supply, etc., and achieving the effects of high forecast accuracy, fast response speed, and strong feasibility.

Inactive Publication Date: 2013-12-25
STATE GRID CORP OF CHINA +2
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0002] With the advancement of society, electricity plays an increasingly important role in human production and life. However, wildfires around transmission lines often cause transmission line trips, posing a serious threat to the stability of the power grid structure, thereby affecting normal power supply. , seriously endangering industrial production and people's lives
[0003] At present, the known existing technologies include forest fire risk meteorological level forecasting and transmission line mountain fire forecasting, and transmission line mountain fire level forecasting has not yet been carried out

Method used

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Examples

Experimental program
Comparison scheme
Effect test

Embodiment 1

[0019] (1) Confirm that the forecast date of the mountain fire level of the transmission line to be forecast is in the period of high fire consumption in industrial and agricultural production and people's daily life, and the factor α of the high fire consumption period takes a value of 2;

[0020] (2) Confirm that the area where the transmission line to be forecast is located is low in shrubs and overgrown with thatch, and there are residents burning in the wild, and the vegetation factor β takes a value of 3;

[0021] (3) Confirm that the number of mountain fires currently occurring on the transmission line to be predicted is greater than 10, and the combustion factor γ takes a value of 3;

[0022] (4) Confirm that the maximum temperature on the forecast day of the mountain fire level of the transmission line to be forecast is higher than 10°C, the minimum humidity is less than 50%, and the meteorological factor δ takes a value of 2;

[0023] (5) Confirm that there is no dai...

Embodiment 2

[0028] (1) Confirm that the forecast day of the mountain fire level of the transmission line to be forecasted is not in the high-incidence period of industrial and agricultural production and people's daily life, and the factor α of the high-incidence period of fire use takes a value of 1;

[0029] (2) Confirm that the area where the transmission line to be predicted is located is a plain with paddy fields and lakes, trees are visible, and the vegetation factor β takes a value of 1;

[0030] (3) Confirm that the number of mountain fires currently occurring on the transmission line to be predicted is 0, and the combustion factor γ takes the value 1;

[0031] (4) Confirm that the maximum temperature on the forecast day of the mountain fire level of the transmission line to be forecast is lower than 10°C, the minimum humidity is greater than 50%, and the meteorological factor δ takes a value of 1;

[0032] (5) Confirm that there is daily precipitation in the forecasted mountain f...

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Abstract

The invention provides an electric transmission line forest fire grade forecasting method based on five factors. The electric transmission line forest fire grade forecasting method based on the five factors comprises the following steps of (1) confirming the value of a fire using high-incidence season factor alpha, (2) confirming the value of a vegetation factor beta, (3) conforming the value of a burning factor gamma, (4) confirming the value of a meteorological factor delta, (5) confirming the value of a rainfall factor epsilon, (6) calculating an electric transmission line forest fire forecasting index X, and (7) obtaining forest fire forecasting grades of the electric transmission line to be forecasted according to the forest fire forecasting index X. The electric transmission line forest fire grade forecasting method based on the five factors is practical, convenient to implement, fast, strong in practicability, convenient to operate, high in forecasting accuracy and high in reaction speed; strong guidance can be provided for a maintenance unit of electric transmission lines to set forest fire prevention strategies and deploy forest fire prevention measures, and important functions performed for maintaining the safe and stable operation of an electric grid are indispensable.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of power transmission and distribution, and in particular relates to a five-factor-based method for predicting the grade of mountain fires in power transmission lines. Background technique [0002] With the progress of society, electricity plays an increasingly important role in human production and life. However, wildfires around transmission lines often cause transmission line trips, which poses a serious threat to the stability of the grid structure and affects normal power supply. , Seriously endanger industrial production and people's lives. [0003] At present, the known prior art includes forest fire risk meteorological level forecasting and transmission line mountain fire forecasting, and transmission line mountain fire level forecasting has not yet been carried out. In actual work, it is necessary to carry out forest fire level forecasting. By carrying out this work, the prediction accuracy of tran...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/06
CPCY04S10/50
Inventor 陆佳政张红先徐勋建李波方针赵纯
Owner STATE GRID CORP OF CHINA
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