Road intersection steering ratio prediction method based on LSTM neural network

A neural network and prediction method technology, which is applied in the field of road intersection steering ratio prediction, can solve the problem that the correlation and periodicity of the road intersection steering ratio cannot be effectively utilized, and it cannot adapt to nonlinear changes in actual traffic flow, and is difficult to effectively predict and predict. High-precision prediction and other problems, to avoid gradient explosion and gradient dispersion problems, avoid gradient dispersion problems, and avoid gradient explosion effects

Pending Publication Date: 2019-11-29
ZHEJIANG UNIV OF TECH
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Problems solved by technology

This type of method has certain requirements on the smoothness of traffic flow, and is suitable for predicting the steering ratio of road intersections that have been smoothed for a long time. It is difficult for the road intersection prediction method of the model to make effective predictions and high-precision predictions
The second type of method is a prediction method based on Kalman filter, BP (Back Propagation) neural network, etc. Although this type of method has improved algorithm efficiency and prediction accuracy, it cannot effectively use the steering ratio of road intersections in the time dimension. Correlation and periodicity, there are large limitations
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  • Road intersection steering ratio prediction method based on LSTM neural network
  • Road intersection steering ratio prediction method based on LSTM neural network
  • Road intersection steering ratio prediction method based on LSTM neural network

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[0033] The technical solution of the present invention will be further described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.

[0034] The road intersection steering ratio prediction method based on LSTM neural network of the present invention, concrete implementation steps are as follows:

[0035] (1) Statistics of the traffic flow of each entrance road at the road intersection. According to various flow detectors installed at road intersections, the traffic flow of different flow directions of each entrance road per unit time is calculated, including three flow directions of left turn, straight and right turn, and the unit is pcu / h (pcu, passenger car unit , the standard passenger car unit, that is, the standard car equivalent number).

[0036] (2) Perform data preprocessing on the traffic flow data collected in step (1) to eliminate various data anomalies. In the actual traffic environment, due to reasons such as data transmission, weather or equipment itself, the...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a road intersection steering ratio prediction method based on an LSTM neural network. The road intersection steering ratio prediction method comprises the steps: firstly carrying out the statistics of traffic flows in different flow directions of all entrance lanes of a road intersection, and carrying out the data preprocessing; then, calculating the steering ratios of allthe entrance lanes of the road intersection in all the flow directions, and splitting a training set and a test set; then, designing a prediction model based on an LSTM neural network, and selecting an appropriate activation function and an appropriate loss function; and finally, sequentially selecting the training set and the test set of different entrance lanes, training and testing the corresponding prediction model, and completing the establishment of the prediction model, thereby being applied to the prediction of the road intersection steering ratio. According to the road intersection steering ratio prediction method, the time sequence characteristic of the traffic flow can be fully utilized, and the prediction precision of the road intersection steering ratio is effectively improved, and meanwhile, the problems of gradient explosion and gradient dispersion are avoided through the reasonable neural network structure and the good activation function characteristic, and the applicability of the prediction method is improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the road intersection steering ratio prediction of intelligent traffic, and the road intersection steering ratio prediction is used for traffic signal control adjustment, traffic design and traffic planning. Background technique [0002] In the field of intelligent transportation, the prediction of traffic flow parameters is a very important research direction. If the relevant traffic flow parameters can be predicted more accurately, such as road section speed, traffic flow, travel time, road intersection steering ratio, etc., urban traffic managers can make traffic signal control adjustments in advance, or carry out reasonable traffic design and planning. , thereby alleviating urban traffic congestion and improving traffic efficiency. In the intelligent transportation system, the steering ratio of road intersections represents the ratio of the number of vehicles flowing in each direction of an entrance at a road intersection ...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/26G06N3/04G06N3/08
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/26G06N3/084G06N3/048G06N3/044G06N3/045
Inventor 刘端阳唐龙峰沈国江刘志朱李楠杨曦阮中远
Owner ZHEJIANG UNIV OF TECH
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