Goods damage insurance differentiation dynamic pricing method, system and device and storage medium
A differentiated and dynamic technology, applied in market forecasting, instrumentation, finance, etc., can solve problems such as no consideration of risk preferences of decision makers, few personalized dynamic pricing, and low efficiency of solutions, so as to promote sustainable development and improve efficiency and accuracy, the effect of enhancing competitiveness
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example 1
[0116] Example 1: Pricing for an industrial paper policy with an insured amount of 50,000 yuan.
[0117] Industrial paper is a type of cargo whose number of insurance policies and compensation is not a large number, and the insurance period can be set to 5 months.
[0118] According to historical data, the insurance policy with an insured amount of 50,000 yuan has the most compensation cases, and this policy can also guarantee the interests of drivers and logistics companies to the greatest extent. The policy pricing method with an insured amount of 50,000 yuan is as follows:
[0119] Step 1: Check whether the compensation amount with an insured amount of 50,000 yuan satisfies the lognormal distribution:
[0120] import pandas as pd
[0121] import numpy as np
[0122] import matplotlib.pyplot as plt
[0123] import scipy.stats as stats
[0124] data1=np.log([221,1163.88,318,714.98,318,63,73.49,662,1235.05,1497,200,221,160,1757.5])#Insured amount is 50000 compensation
...
example 2
[0166] Example 2: Pricing of an industrial paper policy with an insured amount of 3,000 yuan
[0167] The pricing of industrial paper with an insured amount of 3,000 yuan belongs to the situation of step 3 in the above method: when the compensation amount of the policy under a certain insured amount cannot be verified whether it obeys the logarithmic normal distribution.
[0168] Step 1: The number of insurance policies with an insurance amount of 3,000 yuan in industrial paper is small, and the number of accidents is small, so it is impossible to test whether the compensation amount obeys the logarithmic normal distribution. Normal distribution, so it can be assumed that an industrial paper insurance policy with an insured amount of 3,000 yuan obeys a logarithmic normal distribution.
[0169] Step 2: Calculate an estimate of the payout amount for the next installment:
[0170]
[0171] The predicted value is exactly equal to the previous payment amount of 265 yuan.
[01...
example 3
[0184] Example 3: Pricing of an industrial paper policy with an insured amount of 1,000 yuan
[0185] The pricing of industrial paper with an insured amount of 1,000 yuan belongs to the situation of step 3 in the above method: when the compensation amount of the policy under a certain insured amount cannot be verified whether it obeys the logarithmic normal distribution.
[0186] Step 1: The insurance policy with the insurance amount of 1,000 yuan in the industrial paper has fewer accidents, and it is impossible to test whether the compensation amount obeys the logarithmic normal distribution. However, all the insurance policies in the industrial paper with different insurance amounts have been tested, and the overall obeys the logarithmic normal distribution. Distribution, so it can be assumed that the industrial paper insurance policy with an insured amount of 1,000 yuan obeys the logarithmic normal distribution.
[0187] Step 2: Calculate an estimate of the payout amount fo...
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