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Time sequence prediction method based on Radam-DA-NLSTM

A forecasting method and time series technology, applied in forecasting, biological neural network models, data processing applications, etc., can solve problems such as poor generalization performance, poor robust performance, and model instability, and achieve improved stability and convergence speed. The effect of fast and improving prediction accuracy

Pending Publication Date: 2022-04-05
ZHEJIANG SHUREN UNIV
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Problems solved by technology

However, most time series in life present high-dimensional and complex features. When the prediction model based on the traditional LSTM neural network processes these data, it will have poor robustness due to weak network feature aggregation, model instability and generalization caused by overfitting. poor performance

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  • Time sequence prediction method based on Radam-DA-NLSTM
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Embodiment

[0087] Such as figure 1 As shown, based on the RAdam-DA-NLSTM time series prediction method, it uses an autoencoder network model, including an input layer, an encoder, a decoder, and an output layer. The input attention mechanism is used to optimize NLSTM1 to form an encoder; the time attention mechanism is used to optimize NLSTM2 to form a decoder, which can quantitatively assign important weights to each specific time step in sequence features and hidden state features, and improve the traditional LSTM. question. Then, when encoding and decoding, the RAdam optimizer is used to optimize and solve the DA-NSLTM network objective function to enhance the stability of the model.

[0088] Input layer input: and the known target sequence Y=(y 1 ,...,y t-1 ,...,y T-1 ), and obtain a mapping function F through RAdam-DA-NSLTM-based time series prediction model learning to predict the unknown y T ,Right now in, It refers to the information of n sequences at the tth time step...

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Abstract

The invention relates to the technical field of time sequence prediction methods, in particular to a RAdam-DA-NLSTM-based time sequence prediction method, which adopts a new internal LSTM unit structure as a memory cell of an LSTM through a nested LSTM neural network, enables a model to be capable of instructing memory forgetting and memory selection, improves the prediction precision of the model, and improves the prediction accuracy of the model. Then constructing an auto-encoder network based on a double-stage attention mechanism, selecting input features and hidden state features of a time sequence by adopting an encoder based on an input attention mechanism and a decoder based on a time attention mechanism, improving the problem of attention dispersion defects of a traditional LSTM, and finally solving a target function by adopting an RAdam optimizer, according to the method, an Adam optimizer and an SGD optimizer can be dynamically selected according to the variance dispersity, and rectifier items are constructed, so that the adaptive momentum is fully expressed, the stability of the model is enhanced, and the method has higher prediction precision and stability.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the technical field of time series prediction methods, in particular to a time series prediction method based on RAdam-DA-NLSTM. Background technique [0002] The world of the Internet of Things generates massive amounts of data, how to make good use of these data is a key technical issue in today's social and economic development. Therefore, scholars have been studying methods based on artificial intelligence to process and analyze massive data in the Internet of Things. Among them, the time series forecasting method is one of the research hotspots. [0003] LSTM (Long Short Term Memory, long short-term memory) neural network can fully mine the information contained in massive data, and has the ability of deep learning. Therefore, one of the main methods of the current time series method is to use the LSTM neural network. However, most time series in life present high-dimensional and complex features. When the predi...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06N3/04
Inventor 刘半藤陈唯王柯谢阳青陈友荣
Owner ZHEJIANG SHUREN UNIV