Nonlinear kernelled adaptive prediction method

An adaptive prediction and non-linear technology, applied in adaptive control, instrumentation, control/regulation systems, etc., can solve the problems of not studying the process of dynamic kernel function selection and parameter adjustment, and not having the process of overall function fitting

Inactive Publication Date: 2011-09-28
DONGHUA UNIV
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Problems solved by technology

This invention patent does not study the process of dynamic kernel function selection and parameter adjustment, nor the overall function fitting process
In addition, Ren Shuangqiao, Yang Degui and others published "Slice Support Vector Machine" in the Journal of Computer Science in January 2009, drawing on the basi

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  • Nonlinear kernelled adaptive prediction method

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Embodiment 1

[0089] In the automatic trading system, the volume weighted average price (Volume Weighted Average Price VWAP) is a commonly used benchmark for quantification, and its defined volume is the total transaction amount divided by the corresponding total transaction volume in a certain period of time. The VWAP model is an execution strategy, which divides the parent order into many small sub-orders, and sends them out gradually within a specified period of time. The purpose is to make the VWAP value of the orders executed in the specified time period lower than or equal to the VWAP value of the corresponding time period in the market. The effect of this is to reduce the impact of large orders on the market and improve the execution effect; at the same time, it increases the secrecy of large orders. The key to doing this for the VWAP model is using historical data as well as real-time market data. The VWAP model requires the system to have access to real-time secondary market data....

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Abstract

The invention discloses a nonlinear kernelled adaptive prediction method which comprises the following six steps: data preprocessing, subspace subdivision, subspace adaptive fitting control, subspace connection, new sample prediction and prediction output. The method is characterized in that after data is preprocessed, the integral space of the data is subdivided into a plurality of successive subspaces; the optimal kernels and parameters are adaptively selected on each subspace by using an intelligent sliding controller based on particle swarm support vector regression so as to form optimal local fitting hypersurfaces; then the optimal local fitting hypersurfaces are connected by using a three-point Lagrange interpolation method so as to form a final total-space regression prediction function; and finally, new data is predicted and output. By using the method disclosed by the invention, the characteristic space subdivision of data is realized, and the prediction speed for large-scale multi-attribute nonlinear data is improved; and the kernel functions adapting to the data distribution are screened adaptively by using the intelligent sliding controller based on particle swarm support vector regression, thereby optimizing integral parameters, and ensuring the precision and accuracy of fitting prediction.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the field of artificial intelligence and relates to a nonlinear prediction method, in particular to a nonlinear kernelization adaptive prediction method, in particular to a fast and efficient kernel function-based nonlinear adaptive regression prediction method. Background technique [0002] The study of nonlinear predictive control is one of the core research contents of machine learning, and has become the focus of attention in academia and industry. The Support Vector Regression Machine (SVR), developed on the basis of statistical learning theory, transforms the nonlinear prediction problem into a kernel-based machine learning problem. Through the dot product of the kernel function, it is convenient to transform the nonlinear transformation into a linear problem in a high-dimensional space, which greatly simplifies the application calculation and the search of the nonlinear mapping function, thus solving many model analysis ...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G05B13/02
Inventor 丁永生程丽俊郝矿荣郭崇滨
Owner DONGHUA UNIV
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