A Risk Assessment Method Based on Multi-agent System

A risk assessment and risk technology, applied in the field of systems engineering, can solve the problems of lack of self-adaptation and dynamic evolution characteristics of the model, and achieve the effect of improving reliability, strong applicability, and deepening understanding
CN103310043BInactive Publication Date: 2015-11-18BEIHANG UNIV

Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Patent Type
Patents(China)
Current Assignee / Owner
BEIHANG UNIV
Publication Date
2015-11-18
Estimated Expiration
Not applicable · inactive patent

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Abstract

The invention discloses a risk assessment method based on a multi-Agent system, which belongs to the technical field of system engineering. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, conducting mold division for a complex product design process, and designing for matter interaction mold of Agent; secondly, conducting type division for the Agent, and designing for the effect mechanism of a risk event in the product design process; and finally, simulating run to obtain the risk assessment for the complex product design formation process. The method can satisfy the adaptivity and the dynamic evolution property of the complex product design process, so as to more match a real process; and the risk effect mechanism provided by the method matches the shock and the spreading process of the risk event in the real process, so as to facilitate the deep knowing of the risk event for a modeler and an evaluation expert, and improve the confidence level of the risk assessment of the complex product design process.
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Description

technical field

[0001] The invention designs a risk assessment method based on a multi-agent system, which belongs to the technical field of system engineering. Background technique

[0002] Modern complex product design has the characteristics of three highs: high investment, high technical content, and high complexity. The project management of complex product development often relies on large and small contractors to complete together. There are many types of risks faced by the development, and the relationship between various risks is intricate, and the occurrence of risk events is uncertain. It is uncertain what environmental conditions will occur and the extent to which the risk will affect the development project. Therefore, in order to reduce the difficulty of experts' discussion and improve the credibility of the results of the discussion, it is necessary to use relevant systematic methods to describe the development process in an intuitive way and help experts to ...

Claims

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