A device for analyzing and predicting the impact of environmental changes on disease incidence
A technology of environmental change and prediction device, applied in medical data mining, medical informatics, computer-aided medical procedures, etc., can solve the problem of lack of qualitative and quantitative analysis
Active Publication Date: 2019-03-05
上海卫生信息工程技术研究中心有限公司 +1
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All think it has an impact, but which diseases have an impact and to what extent? Lack of qualitative and quantitative analysis
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[0057] In order to make the present invention more comprehensible, preferred embodiments are described in detail below with accompanying drawings.
[0058] The present invention uses the outpatient data of the top three hospitals in Shanghai in the past two years, and analyzes the relationship between the outpatient volume data, meteorological changes and environmental pollution data, and constructs the degree of influence of environmental changes on the incidence of diseases based on a non-parametric Poisson regression model On this basis, a prediction model based on the support vector regression machine for the impact of environmental changes on the outpatient volume was constructed to predict the weekly number of patients in each department of the hospital. To enable patients to avoid the influence of adverse weather conditions and environmental pollution factors that cause disease in advance, and arrange daily activities reasonably; hospitals can rationally allocate medical...
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The invention discloses an analytical prediction module of disease incidence affected by environmental change. An association condition between outpatient capacity data and meteorology change and environmental pollution data is analyzed, a quantitative analysis module is built based on the incidence of the disease incidence caused by the environment change of a non-parameter Poisson regression model, and a prediction module which affects the outpatient capacity based on support vector regression is built based on the quantitative analysis module, and the weekly outpatient capacity of each department of a hospital is predicted. Therefore, a patient can avoid the influence on bad weather conditions and environmental pollution factors in advance and arrange the daily activities reasonably; furthermore, a hospital can reasonably configure the medical resources and manpower of all departments aiming at top diseases; furthermore, the emergency preparation can be done by public hygiene departments in advance, and the special crowds can be intervened in advance, therefore the morbidity can be reduced and the human living quality can be improved.
Description
technical field [0001] The invention relates to a quantitative analysis model based on a non-parametric Poisson regression model for the impact of environmental changes on disease incidence, and on this basis, a prediction method for the impact of environmental changes on outpatient visits based on a support vector regression machine is constructed. Background technique [0002] Human health is closely related to external environmental factors, among which changes in meteorological conditions and environmental pollution are particularly related to the occurrence of human diseases. The impact of climate change and environmental pollution on health has become the focus of widespread concern. At present, most people still have a perceptual understanding of the impact of climate change and environmental pollution on the incidence of diseases. All think it has an impact, but which diseases have an impact and to what extent? Qualitative and quantitative analysis is lacking. Co...
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IPC IPC(8): G16H50/70
Inventor 杨冬艳马成龙张敬谊于广军李光亚陈诚
Owner 上海卫生信息工程技术研究中心有限公司