Method for predicting bus arrival time based on bus IC card

A time and bus technology, applied in the field of transportation, achieves the effect of low cost, wide coverage, and reduced waiting time

Active Publication Date: 2016-03-09
BEIJING UNIV OF TECH
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  • Description
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  • Application Information

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Problems solved by technology

[0004] Aiming at the problems of traditionally using bus IC cards to predict bus arrival time, the present invention comprehensively considers factors such as vehicle type, number of

Method used

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  • Method for predicting bus arrival time based on bus IC card
  • Method for predicting bus arrival time based on bus IC card
  • Method for predicting bus arrival time based on bus IC card

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Embodiment Construction

[0026] The specific implementation process of the present invention will be described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings. From April 15th to 21st, 2015, the vehicle arrival time of bus No. 52 and No. 486 in Beijing during peak hours, off-peak hours and holidays was investigated, and 180 sets of vehicle arrival time data were obtained, which were covered with the extracted 446 sets. All bus IC card swiping times of the target line running time are paired to calculate the time difference between adjacent swiping times and the difference between the arrival time of the vehicle and the swiping time, and accurately predict the arrival time of the vehicle by analyzing the passenger's swiping pattern.

[0027] Step 1: Obtain the accurate arrival time of buses through manual investigation, and arrange them in chronological order as shown in Table 1.

[0028] Table 1 Statistical table of bus arrival time

[0029]

[0030]

[0031] Step 2: Extract the b...

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Abstract

The invention relates to a method for predicting the bus arrival time based on a bus IC card, and belongs to the technical field of transportation. Analysis is made by comprehensively considering factors such as the bus model, the number of passengers getting on and the number of passengers getting off at each stop and the operation time, and a solution is provided for accurately predicting the bus arrival time based on a bus IC card. The method comprises the following steps: the accurate arrival time of a bus is recorded through artificial investigation; and the arrival time is matched with data recorded in a bus IC card, wherein the data after matching contains the bus line number, the bus number, the bus arrival time, the bus IC card swiping time, and the number of passengers getting on and the number of passengers getting off at each stop. A threshold for judging effective card swiping time is determined based on the analysis of the distribution law of the interval between adjacent card swiping time, and the bus arrival time is accurately predicted based on the card swiping data of different stops.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of transportation. The bus arrival time can be accurately predicted through the passenger card information recorded by the IC card. Background technique [0002] The key to the development of public transportation is to improve the level of bus service. Real-time and accurate bus arrival information can not only reduce the waiting time of passengers, facilitate passengers to arrange travel reasonably, but also provide guarantee for reasonable decision-making and intelligent scheduling of bus operators. The bus arrival time prediction in our country mainly adopts the real-time transmission of the bus GPS equipment. Although the GPS positioning accuracy is high, due to the high cost of the equipment and the low popularity, it is not possible to fully cover all bus lines in a short time to achieve bus arrival. Real-time prediction of station times. [0003] Utilize the method of bus IC card to predict the bus...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G08G1/123G06Q10/04
CPCG06Q10/04G08G1/123
Inventor 周雨阳姚琳陈艳艳龚艺
Owner BEIJING UNIV OF TECH
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