Urban rail transit station connection bicycle quantity determination method

Abstract

The invention discloses a method of determining an urban rail transit station connection bicycle quantity. A willingness questionnaire is designed, a questionnaire survey on outbound passengers at the rail transit station is made, acquired data are subjected to format processing, a discrete selection model is built, the well-processed willingness questionnaire data are substituted to the discrete selection model to obtain the estimated value of the parameters, the possibility of adopting bicycles for connection by the outbound passengers are calculated according to a model result, and the connection bicycle quantity is thus determined. Through building the discrete selection model, determination on the sharing rate of the connection bicycles is realized, the problem of over large deviation between the actually-allocated connection bicycle quantity and requirements can be solved, the accuracy of rail transit station bicycle quantity allocation is improved, and the built model has a high precision and has duplicability.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of urban traffic, and relates to a method for determining the number of bicycles connected to urban rail transit stations. Background technique [0002] With the rapid development of my country's urban motorization, the rapid growth of motor vehicle ownership has brought enormous pressure to my country's urban traffic, and traffic congestion has become more and more serious, which has seriously affected the development of cities and people's lives, resulting in economic losses Difficult to estimate. According to the "Beijing Traffic Development Annual Report", in 2011, Beijing lost nearly 105.7 billion yuan due to traffic congestion every year, which is equivalent to 7.4% of Beijing's GDP. [0003] Rail transit has the advantages of large passenger capacity, convenience, punctuality, safety, and environmental protection. It is one of the most effective means to solve traffic congestion and is a well-deserved...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

In the existing research, the determination of the number of bicycles connected to rail transit stations usually adopts the Shanghai model method and the transfer amount calculation method. These methods usually multiply the corresponding coefficients on the basis of the building area and population data of the rail transit station service area , has the disadvantages of high subjectivity and poor theory

On the other hand, the traveler's choice of transportation mode to connect to rail transit is a personal choice behavior, which is non-aggregated

Existing models are usually aggregated, which also shows flaws and deficiencies in theory and logic, which makes the calculation and inference results deviate too much from the actual demand, and the accuracy of the model is low

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