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Application method of rail transit passenger flow prediction

An application method and rail transit technology, applied in the field of rail transit, can solve the problems of high passenger flow pressure, low operation efficiency, inability to accurately and timely predict passenger flow, etc., and achieve the effect of ensuring reliability and accuracy.

Inactive Publication Date: 2019-08-13
BEIJING BII ERG TRANSPORTATION TECH CO LTD
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  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0005] In order to solve the technical problems existing in the background technology, the present invention proposes an application method of rail transit passenger flow forecasting to solve the problems of heavy passenger flow pressure and low operating efficiency caused by the inability to accurately and timely predict passenger flow in the prior art

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  • Application method of rail transit passenger flow prediction
  • Application method of rail transit passenger flow prediction
  • Application method of rail transit passenger flow prediction

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Embodiment Construction

[0034] Embodiment 1 of the present invention proposes a kind of rail transit passenger flow prediction application method, such as figure 1 shown, including the following steps:

[0035] Step 101, set the forecast time interval and time dimension, and obtain AFC real-time passenger flow data as forecast input data according to the set forecast time interval and time dimension.

[0036] Step 102, perform preprocessing on the prediction input data; for example, perform data cleaning, data integration, data transformation, data standardization and other processing on data outliers, discrete values, abnormal values, extreme values, repeated values, etc.

[0037] Step 103, selecting an algorithm, and performing model fitting on the preprocessed data.

[0038] In step 104, the model is tested, and if the fitting effect of the model is not good, the passenger flow of the time period that has occurred is predicted, and parameter adjustment and model optimization are performed accordi...

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Abstract

The invention discloses an application method of rail transit passenger flow prediction, which comprises the following steps: setting a prediction time interval and a time dimension, and obtaining AFCreal-time passenger flow data as prediction input data according to the set prediction time interval and time dimension; preprocessing the prediction input data; selecting an algorithm, and performing model fitting on the preprocessed data; checking the model; generating a prediction result report; and visually outputting the data in the prediction result report. According to the invention, reliable real-time section passenger flow data prediction is provided for a rail transit operation unit, so that the operation unit can organize driving in advance according to the prediction data, and passenger flow backlog, transportation energy waste, equipment energy consumption and the like caused by insufficient transportation energy release due to unsaturated transportation energy are avoided.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of rail transit, in particular to an application method of rail transit passenger flow prediction. Background technique [0002] In the actual operation process, the rail operation unit needs to obtain the real-time passenger flow data of each line to guide passenger flow control, traffic organization and safety management. Among the existing information systems of current rail transit, those that can provide operation data reference for operating units mainly include the real-time passenger flow in and out of the station obtained by the AFC (Automatic Fare Collection) system, and the section provided by the ACC (clearing) system. Passenger flow, etc. [0003] Due to the following deficiencies in the clearing data given by ACC: 1. The cross-sectional passenger flow calculation takes OD (inbound and outbound data pairs) as the input premise, and only O (in) and D (out) can enter the ACC system for clearing, ...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/30G06F17/18
CPCG06Q10/04G06F17/18G06Q50/40
Inventor 逄淑荣关晓峰宋伟王育斌冯旭鹏
Owner BEIJING BII ERG TRANSPORTATION TECH CO LTD
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