Runoff prediction method based on attention mechanism and LSTM

A prediction method and attention technology, applied in the direction of prediction, computer parts, character and pattern recognition, etc., can solve the problems that are difficult to be widely used, difficult to accurately simulate nonlinear hydrological sequences, etc., to expand the scope of application, reduce dependence, Effect of High Prediction Accuracy
CN110288157AInactive Publication Date: 2019-09-27UNIV OF ELECTRONICS SCI & TECH OF CHINA
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Patent Information

Authority / Receiving Office
CN · China
Current Assignee / Owner
UNIV OF ELECTRONICS SCI & TECH OF CHINA
Publication Date
2019-09-27
Estimated Expiration
Not applicable · inactive patent

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Abstract

The invention discloses a runoff prediction method based on an attention mechanism and LSTM by using a deep learning algorithm. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, collecting influence characteristics related to runoff in a drainage basin, then constructing a time sequence data set corresponding to the characteristics and runoff, obtaining a runoff prediction model based on an attention mechanism and LSTM through training, and predicting the subsequent runoff according to the obtained runoff prediction model. Meanwhile, some short-term important features are ignored when the LSTM memorizes a long-term sequence mode, so that an attention mechanism is added, key elements in a runoff sequence are selectively concerned, the capability of capturing effective features by the LSTM is improved, and the prediction precision is relatively high. In addition, a deep learning method driven by data is used, dependence on a hydrological and physical mechanism in a drainage basin is reduced, and the application range of the model is effectively expanded.
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Description

technical field

[0001] The invention belongs to the field of hydrology and water resources, and more specifically, relates to a deep neural network based on attention mechanism and LSTM to predict the change of runoff. Background technique

[0002] Water resources are the main carrier of life on earth and one of the important natural resources supporting social and economic development and the progress of ecological civilization. Water resources are different from other resources in that it is a dynamic resource that changes with time and space. my country has a vast territory. Due to the extremely uneven distribution of water resources in time and space, this will lead to dry weather and little rain in some areas, while natural disasters such as floods will occur in other areas. For example, the South-to-North Water Diversion Project was built to solve the water shortage in some areas in the north. Therefore, water resources management and protection, planning and utiliza...

Claims

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