Prediction method for total regional economic amount and change thereof

Abstract

The invention discloses a prediction method for a regional total economic amount and changes thereof, and relates to a method for analyzing economic scale changes of one or more economizers based on big data, and an artificial intelligence algorithm and system. According to the invention, a brand-new trans-regional general equilibrium model is constructed to simulate the economic relationship between the target economic body and the associated economic body. One economic body is divided into two parts, namely a target economic body and an associated economic body, so that the production and consumption activities in each region are considered, and the trade relationship between regions is also considered. When economic factors change, population, capital, special elements and the like of the target economic body change to different extents, so that the balance price and quantity of the whole economic body (including the target economic body area and the associated economic body area) change. Therefore, as long as the data of the economic factor change is known, the influence of the economic factor change on the target economic body and the whole economic body can be quickly and accurately estimated according to the algorithm system provided by the invention.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to the fields of economic forecasting and big data application, as well as the fields of artificial intelligence, machine learning, deep learning and smart city, and more specifically relates to a method of analyzing the economic scale and changes of one or more economies based on big data and deep learning Methods. Background technique [0002] At present, there are still many technical difficulties in the assessment and prediction of the economic scale of an economy in a complex system at home and abroad. Especially when the economy is facing exogenous shocks (such as technological progress, war, man-made or natural disasters, etc.), the resource stock of the economy will have positive or negative changes, which will bring great impact on economic evaluation and forecasting. Come very difficult. Especially from the perspective of smart cities, if the economic scale of the city itself and its changes cannot be accuratel...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

Moreover, the assessment of changes in economic factors only for individual cases cannot form a generally applicable method for the assessment of changes in economic factors

Second, most of the existing literature discusses the economic impact of changes in economic factors on the target economy itself, and the impact of changes in economic factors will affect the region of the associated economy or even a wider range of economies

At present, there is no mathematical model that can closely link the target economy and related economies in the overall economy at the theoretical level. If only the economic impact on the target economy is considered, the impact of changes in economic factors may be underestimated. ability

Third, most scholars are concerned about the impact of changes in economic factors on the consumption level, and there is a lack of research on the impact on the supply level, especially the production capacity.

The academic circle also lacks a research framework that can closely connect the production level and the consumption level to derive the overall impact of changes in economic factors on economic development and welfare levels, and a framework that only considers a single level will inevitably underestimate the economic impact of changes in economic factors

Images