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Central air conditioning system cooling load prediction method based on SVR algorithm

A technology of central air conditioning system and air conditioning system, which is applied in the field of cooling load prediction of central air conditioning system based on SVR algorithm, can solve the problems of complex model and difficult application, and achieves a low cost measurement, simple structure and high degree of integration. Effect

Pending Publication Date: 2020-10-02
XIAN MOONEW ENERGY TECH SERVICES
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0013] In view of this, the problem to be solved by the present invention is to provide a method for forecasting the cooling load of a central air-conditioning system based on the SVR algorithm for problems such as complex models and difficult application in the prior art.

Method used

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  • Central air conditioning system cooling load prediction method based on SVR algorithm
  • Central air conditioning system cooling load prediction method based on SVR algorithm
  • Central air conditioning system cooling load prediction method based on SVR algorithm

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Embodiment 1

[0033] A method for forecasting the cooling load of a central air-conditioning system based on the SVR algorithm provided by the present invention, its flow chart is as follows figure 1 shown, including the following steps:

[0034] Step 1) Determine the cooling load forecast period τ.

[0035] The cooling load prediction period τ in the present invention is 30 minutes.

[0036] For the present invention, in a specific application, the data collection time period and the cooling load forecast period τ can be adjusted according to actual scene requirements.

[0037] Step 2) Establishing a data set using outdoor meteorological parameters and historical data of indoor air-conditioning system related parameters as the cooling load forecast calculation model.

[0038] Specifically, the collected outdoor weather parameters and indoor central air-conditioning operating parameters data time period is the daily air-conditioning system start-up operation time period, and the collected...

Embodiment 2

[0066] In order to verify the test method, the test data set is used to carry out the air conditioning cooling load prediction test on the saved prediction model. The present invention's cooling load prediction value and cooling load real value contrast instance situation is as follows Figure 4 Prediction accuracy rate chart of air conditioning cooling load forecasting method. The results show that the prediction accuracy is as high as 93.28%, and the R2 value is 0.933. This test method can be applied to the prediction and analysis of the cooling load of the central air-conditioning system. It is easy to operate, high in precision, low in cost, wide in testing range, accurate in positioning, and easy to implement. It provides theoretical support for the development of convenient and fast energy-saving optimization of central air-conditioning .

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Abstract

The invention discloses a central air conditioning system cooling load prediction method based on an SVR algorithm. The central air conditioning system cooling load prediction method comprises the steps that a cooling load prediction cycle tau is determined; a dataset with historical data of outdoor meteorological parameters and indoor air conditioning system relevant parameters as a cooling loadprediction calculation model is built; a cooling load prediction training dataset is built; an input dataset and a training set are built; and a prediction model is generated and saved. Indoor coolingload needs in the future time are predicted according to real-time data of the outdoor meteorological parameters and indoor central air conditioning operation parameters, air conditioning cooling load prediction is conducted through the SVR regression algorithm based on an RBF kernel, the training dataset is selected optimally through a PCA (principal component analysis) method, and the needs forthe air conditioning cooling load in a room in the future time are predicted with a high accuracy degree on the basis of a small number of training data through a method with simple model training.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of central air-conditioning energy consumption control, in particular to a cooling load prediction method for a central air-conditioning system based on an SVR algorithm. Background technique [0002] With the development of society and economy, the energy consumption of buildings has increased year by year, accounting for about 40% of the global energy demand. As far as our country is concerned, building energy consumption accounts for as high as 30% of the whole society's energy consumption. At the same time, air conditioning and heating systems account for about half of the total building energy consumption, and the proportion has been increasing in recent years. It is less than 10%, so the energy-saving space of central air-conditioning system is fully exploited, and the energy-saving of air-conditioning system is the key task of building energy conservation. [0003] At present, the design of the centr...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): F24F11/62F24F11/46G06N3/08
CPCF24F11/62F24F11/46G06N3/08
Inventor 王志强朱小磊洪振冯三龙段永东
Owner XIAN MOONEW ENERGY TECH SERVICES
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