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Capacity estimation method combined with online business index characteristics

A technology that combines business indicators and lines, applied in the field of IT capacity management, can solve problems such as low degree of automation, low accuracy, and timeliness delay, and achieve the effect of improving the degree of automation, improving accuracy, and improving data

Active Publication Date: 2021-04-09
SICHUAN XW BANK CO LTD
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0005] In view of the huge amount of Internet banking business data in the prior art, the prediction of future data capacity, the accuracy rate is low, the timeliness is delayed, and the degree of automation is low, the present invention provides a method that combines business indicators and system resources To solve this problem, the method of capacity estimation for related systems can improve the accuracy of data, the timeliness of data, and the automation of capacity estimation by introducing the prophet time series model and xgboost regression training model.

Method used

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  • Capacity estimation method combined with online business index characteristics
  • Capacity estimation method combined with online business index characteristics
  • Capacity estimation method combined with online business index characteristics

Examples

Experimental program
Comparison scheme
Effect test

Embodiment 1

[0089] Example 1, the number of incoming items [67,343,65,87,43] after normalization [0.08,1.0,0.073,0.14,0.0]

[0090] Further, the hardware resource data includes cpu, memory and disk data.

[0091] In this embodiment, the resource data collation result of a certain system is as follows figure 2 shown.

[0092] Among them, step 2 specifically includes:

[0093] Step 2.1: The resource monitoring agent tool collects the business indicator data into the data warehouse, and then uses the etl tool to extract the business indicator data (incoming shipments, loans and repayments) in the data warehouse and sort them by time;

[0094] Step 2.2: Since the data such as the incoming quantity, the number of loans, and the number of repayments are not of the same magnitude, the sorted business index data is processed into data ranging from 0 to 1 using the deviation standardization method, which can also make subsequent model training The process avoids weight inclination...

Embodiment 2

[0102] Embodiment 2, business index [0.08, 1.0, 0.073, 0.14, 0.0], cpu data [0.1, 0.2, 0.3, 0.4, 0.6]

[0103] cor=-0.396943, indicating that the business growth trend is negatively correlated with this system

[0104] Among them, step 4 specifically includes:

[0105] Step 4.1: Smooth the cleaned business indicator data to eliminate data noise;

[0106] Step 4.2: Use the prophet time series model to fit and model the smoothed business indicator data, and define the lower limit of the historical data of the business indicator data in the past 30 days as ylower;

[0107] Step 4.3: The integrated historical data is listed as X=, and the forecast standard data is Y= , and take X, Y as the historical training data, and correspond one-to-one in order.

Embodiment 3

[0108] Embodiment three: X=[0.1,0.1,0.1], [0.2,0.2,0.2], [0.3,0.3,0.3],]

[0109] Y = [15.3, 36.9, 55.5]

[0110] Further, the modeling mainly includes the following steps:

[0111] Step 4.2.1: Build python3 and fbprophet environment;

[0112] Step 4.2.2: Introduce the fbprophet package, and call the Prophet method in the fbprophet package, select the kernel function as "linear", set the holiday date of the coming year for holidays, and set the prediction width to 0.5;

[0113] Step 4.2.3: Call the fit method, and input the smoothed business indicator data into the function as a parameter in the standard format;

[0114] Step 4.2.4: Call the make_future_dataframe method, select the forecast period as 30, the date unit as 'd', and define the lower limit of the historical data of the business indicator data in the past 30 days as ylower.

[0115] Further, the pseudocode used in the step 4 time series model is as follows:

[0116] Algorithm time series

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Abstract

The invention discloses a capacity estimation method in combination with online business index characteristics, belongs to the field of IT capacity management, and solves the problems of huge internet banking business data volume, delayed future data capacity estimation, low accuracy, timeliness and lower automation degree in the prior art. The invention provides a method for jointly estimating the capacity of all related systems by combining service indexes and system resources, and by introducing a time sequence model and an xgboost model, the accuracy of data is improved, the timeliness of the data is improved, and the automation degree of capacity estimation is improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the field of IT capacity management, and in particular relates to a capacity estimation method combined with online service index features. Background technique [0002] The traditional capacity management field mainly solves two problems. One is to effectively evaluate whether the QPS and hardware resources of the system at a certain time node are sufficient according to the growth of the business; Provide strong support for the procurement plan, obtain a reasonable value between technical investment and business development, and pursue a state that is infinitely close to "just right". [0003] The existing capacity estimation technology mainly assumes the business increment based on expert experience, and estimates the number of visitors within 30 days of uv (Unique Vistor) and the number of page views within 30 days of PV (page view) under the assumption of business increment; Then calculate the possible QPS concurrency acc...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06F11/34G06F16/215
CPCG06F11/3457G06F16/215Y02D10/00
Inventor 何思佑
Owner SICHUAN XW BANK CO LTD