LSTM energy consumption prediction method based on dual feature selection and particle swarm optimization

A technology of particle swarm optimization and feature selection, applied in prediction, neural learning methods, biological neural network models, etc., can solve problems such as unstable prediction performance, low energy consumption prediction accuracy, and unsatisfactory building energy consumption prediction, etc., to achieve The model algorithm has high efficiency, good model fitting effect, and stable prediction performance effect

Pending Publication Date: 2022-01-21
CHANGJIANG SURVEY PLANNING DESIGN & RES
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0045] However, the existing MI mutual information algorithm, LSTM model, and PSO particle swarm optimization algorithm have low accuracy in energy consumption prediction, and the prediction performance is unstable, which does not meet the requirements of building energy consumption prediction

Method used

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  • LSTM energy consumption prediction method based on dual feature selection and particle swarm optimization
  • LSTM energy consumption prediction method based on dual feature selection and particle swarm optimization
  • LSTM energy consumption prediction method based on dual feature selection and particle swarm optimization

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Embodiment

[0114] Now, the present invention will be described in detail by taking the power consumption prediction of a certain building as an example of the trial application of the present invention, which also has a guiding effect on the application of the present invention to other building energy consumption predictions.

[0115] In this implementation, the historical power consumption of a building is used as a time series to predict the power consumption of a short-term single-step 1h.

[0116] In this embodiment, the electricity consumption forecast of a certain building includes the following contents:

[0117] 1. Experimental data set and MI feature selection

[0118] The data set used in this example is the electricity consumption of a certain building from October 15, 2019 to June 4, 2019. The data set has a total of 20 features. A description of these features is shown in Table 1. The data in the fifth column is the pearsonr correlation coefficient value between the curre...

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Abstract

The invention discloses an LSTM energy consumption prediction method based on dual feature selection and particle swarm optimization. The method comprises the following steps: 1, performing correlation analysis on time and feature dimension of an original data set by adopting an MI mutual information method, and selecting first N'-dimensional features which are most effective for an energy consumption prediction target value; 2, performing secondary feature selection on the N-dimensional features to obtain N''-dimensional features after PMI feature selection; 3, performing model training and prediction on data after PMI dual feature selection by adopting an LSTM model to obtain an initial prediction sequence y(t); 4, performing optimization on hyper-parameters units, dropout, and batch size of the LSTM model by adopting a PSO algorithm, thereby improving the prediction precision of the LSTM model, and finally obtaining a PMI-LSTM-PSO model. The method has the advantages of high prediction precision, high algorithm efficiency, and stable prediction performance.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of building energy consumption prediction, more specifically, it is an LSTM energy consumption prediction method based on dual feature selection + particle swarm optimization. Background technique [0002] With the widespread application of more and more complex technological products, the demand for electricity is currently increasing globally, requiring the control of the power grid to achieve sustainable development of electricity. In the era of artificial intelligence, the power Internet of Things has gradually been integrated into daily life, and the development of smart grids also requires corresponding testing capabilities, and smart meters have emerged as the times require. The continued expansion of smart meter infrastructure around the world is also laying the groundwork for the introduction of active energy systems into smart grids. Since launching the "Strong Smart Grid" program in 2009, State G...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06N3/04G06N3/08G06K9/62
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/06G06N3/086G06N3/084G06N3/044G06F18/211
Inventor 谌东海王宁刘杰王伟刘畅
Owner CHANGJIANG SURVEY PLANNING DESIGN & RES
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