A Load Forecasting Method Considering Distributed Power Generation and Demand Side Response

Abstract

The invention discloses a load forecasting method considering distributed power supply and demand side response, comprising the following steps: S1: classify uncontrollable resources in the power grid according to the supply side and demand side; S2: for the demand side, establish The demand-side response model of price and the load forecasting method; S3: For the supply side, simulate the uncontrollable operation strategy of the distributed power supply with energy storage that is centrally controlled by the power service provider, and establish the corresponding model and load forecasting method; S4: Solve the model for the operation strategy of distributed power generation with energy storage that is uncontrollable in scheduling. Based on the power grid dispatching department, the invention establishes different analysis models for classification and processing methods in short-term load forecasting, which provides a strong guarantee for reliable operation of power grid dispatching.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the research field of power system load forecasting, in particular to a load forecasting method considering distributed power supply and demand side response. Background technique [0002] Power system load forecasting is an important part of power system planning and the basis of power system economic operation. Power market decision-making and many other aspects play an extremely important role. The higher the accuracy of load forecasting, the more conducive to improving the utilization rate of power generation equipment and the effectiveness of economic dispatch; on the contrary, when the load forecasting error is large, it will not only cause a lot of operating costs and profit loss, and even affect the reliability of power system operation and the balance of supply and demand in the power market. [0003] After entering the 21st century, due to problems such as environmental pollution and energy shortage, more and more di...

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Problems solved by technology

[0002] Power system load forecasting is an important part of power system planning and the basis of power system economic operation. Power market decision-making and many other aspects play an extremely important role. The higher the accuracy of load forecasting, the more conducive to improving the utilization rate of power generation equipment and the effectiveness of economic dispatch; on the contrary, when the load forecasting error is large, it will not only cause a lot of operating costs and profit loss, and even affect the reliability of power system operation and the balance of supply and demand in the power market

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