Unconventional emergency management decision-making method and system based on virtual case
A technology for emergency management and emergencies, applied in data processing applications, instruments, calculations, etc., can solve the problems of few precedents and low decision-making accuracy
Active Publication Date: 2021-06-11
HUAZHONG UNIV OF SCI & TECH
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[0006] Aiming at the above deficiencies or improvement needs of the prior art, the present invention provides a virtual case-based emergency management decision-making method and system for unconventional emergencies, thereby solving the problems of existing case reasoning and rule reasoning in the face of high uncertainty. , Unconventional emergencies with few precedents, the existing technical problems of low decision accuracy
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[0064] In the embodiment of the present invention, the specific fact of object is indicated, for example, for the object's natural environment, there may be the following three examples: Example 1: Natural environment (weather = sunny), Example 2: Natural environment (weather = Rainy day, wind speed = 5m / s), Example 3: Natural environment (weather = big snow).
[0065] g) Detection whether there is an unprocessed rule, if there is, step B) is executed, otherwise the processing is ended.
[0066] (3) Matching and reasoning the scenario information of the input current event through the rule engine, and reasoning the rules in the DRL rule file, and thus the risk attitude of decision makers generate virtual cases, where the virtual case is included in the virtual case. Forecast information and corresponding disposal information for event development;
[0067] After step (2) converting rules into a rule file that can be identified by the rule, the rule of the DROOLS rule engine calls...
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The invention discloses a virtual case-based emergency management decision-making method and system for unconventional emergencies. The method includes: organizing collected historical case information with a unified structure and storing it in a case database; Perform analysis and mining, generate association rules, and store expert rules and commonsense rules in the rule base in the form of production rules; translate the rules in the rule base into drl rule files that can be recognized by the Drools rule engine; call the rule engine to input The scenario information of the current event and the rules in the rule file are matched and reasoned, and the reasoning results are generated based on the risk attitude of the decision-maker to a virtual case; the association-feedback-correction of the iterative interaction between the decision-maker and the computer is finally obtained. The invention can fully reuse cases and people's knowledge, and at the same time give full play to people's creative thinking, so as to solve the problems of difficult prediction of unconventional emergencies and lack of relevant auxiliary decision-making information.
Description
Technical field [0001] The present invention belongs to the field of emergency decision, and more particularly to a unconventional emergency emergency management decision method and system based on virtual cases. Background technique [0002] Unconventional emergencies, due to the misconduct, the cause is complicated, the evolution is rapid, and is rare, often accompanied by potential secondary derivatives, the destructive, the influence is wide, and the use of routine management methods is difficult to respond, how to respond quickly Various unconventional emergencies, making reasonable and effective decisions, is an urgent issue jointly faced by countries. [0003] Existing auxiliary decision-making methods, concerns, and more applications are based on case-based emergency decision-making methods. It is usually a modification and evaluation of similar cases that have occurred in history, and is used to make predictions for event status, and provide reference to the current deci...
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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/06G06Q50/26
CPCG06Q10/0639G06Q50/26
Inventor 陈曦王凯李炜王红卫
Owner HUAZHONG UNIV OF SCI & TECH