Operational risk assessment method for large-scale photovoltaic grid-connected distribution networks
A technology of operation risk and distribution network, applied in AC network circuits, load forecasting in AC network, electrical components, etc., can solve problems such as large impact and complex grid structure, and achieve the effect of improving safety
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[0050] Embodiments of the present invention will be further described below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings.
[0051] 1. First, a real-time prediction model for photovoltaic output and load fluctuations was established
[0052] The output of the photovoltaic power generation system is related to the solar radiation intensity and temperature where the photovoltaic array is located. In a short period of time, the light intensity obeys the normal distribution. The power output of a photovoltaic array is determined by two factors: the conversion efficiency of photovoltaic cells and the incident solar radiation. The output power formula of a solar photovoltaic array is:
[0053] P m =μ·S ab ·I T (1)
[0054] In the formula: S ab Is the total area of the solar photovoltaic array, equal to the product of the unit area of a battery and the number of blocks; I T That is, the total radiation value incident on the photovoltaic cell; the conversion efficiency of ...
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