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Distribution network load prediction device and method based on user installation and plot

A load forecasting and user technology, applied in forecasting, data processing applications, instruments, etc., can solve the problems of increasing the labor burden of staff, heavy manual operation workload, and no centralized management and storage, so as to facilitate calling and viewing, avoid The effect of checking errors and reducing labor burden

Pending Publication Date: 2021-11-23
GUANGDONG POWER GRID CO LTD DONGGUAN POWER SUPPLY BUREAU
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0002] With the development of society and economy, the scale of the power grid continues to expand, and the load on the power grid continues to rise. The development of the power grid needs to consume a lot of resources and investment. Whether the planning is correct or not plays an extremely important role in the development of the subsequent power grid. It is of great practical significance to conduct research in order to maximize the quality of planning. The purpose of grid planning is to establish a grid structure that is safe, reliable, adaptable, and reasonably structured, and can meet the needs of urban and rural economic and social development and domestic electricity consumption. The first step to achieve this goal is to do a good job of load forecasting. At present, the load forecasting of the power grid is simply obtained based on the maximum load of the equipment last year plus the reported capacity multiplied by the practical coefficient. By viewing the equipment objects in the dispatching automation system According to the calculation of the maximum load and the report and installation situation table, the existing forecasting method has a large workload of manual operation, and the data verification is prone to errors. The labor burden of personnel affects the accuracy of prediction; and the summary of data is mostly stored independently in the table of the substation, without centralized management and storage, it is not convenient to share and view, and there is a certain risk of loss; the existing prediction method only It can be demonstrated in the form of a table, but it cannot be clearly combined with the plot area network, and the forecast results cannot be displayed intuitively; therefore, it is necessary to design a distribution network load forecasting device and method based on user reports and plots

Method used

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  • Distribution network load prediction device and method based on user installation and plot
  • Distribution network load prediction device and method based on user installation and plot
  • Distribution network load prediction device and method based on user installation and plot

Examples

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Effect test

Embodiment 1

[0034] A distribution network load forecasting method based on user reports and plots, comprising the following steps: Step 1, forecast input; Step 2, data retrieval; Step 3, data screening; Step 4, line prediction; Step 5, substation prediction ; Step six, town street forecast; Step seven, district bureau forecast; Step eight, forecast output;

[0035] In the above step 1, the year to be predicted is input from the forecast input module 1 as June 2021, and then the forecast input module 1 determines that the data interval to be selected is from July 2020 to June 2021, and the instruction is transmitted to In the data storage module 2;

[0036]In the above-mentioned step 2, the data storage module 2 searches for the potential user data table from July 2020 to June 2021, the submitted user data table from July 2020 to June 2021, and the 2020 Archived user data table from July to June 2021, natural growth rate data in 2021, industry stage coefficient parameter setting data, 10k...

Embodiment 2

[0044] A distribution network load forecasting method based on user reports and plots, comprising the following steps: Step 1, forecast input; Step 2, data retrieval; Step 3, data screening; Step 4, line prediction; Step 5, substation prediction ; Step six, town street forecast; Step seven, district bureau forecast; Step eight, forecast output;

[0045] In the above step 1, the year to be predicted is input from the forecast input module 1 as June 2021 to June 2025, and then the forecast input module 1 determines that the data interval to be selected is from July 2020 to June 2021 , and the instruction is transmitted to the data storage module 2;

[0046] In the above-mentioned step 2, the data storage module 2 searches for the potential user data table from July 2020 to June 2021, the submitted user data table from July 2020 to June 2021, and the 2020 Archived user data table from July to June 2021, natural growth rate data from 2021 to 2025, industry stage coefficient param...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a distribution network load prediction device and method based on user installation and plot. The device comprises a prediction input module, a data storage module, a data extraction module, a screening processing module, a comparison calculation module, a prediction output module, and a result display module. The prediction input module is connected to the data storage module in a controlled mode, and the data storage module is connected to the data extraction module in a controlled mode. According to the invention, data is calculated and analyzed through the arranged comparison calculation module, the labor burden of workers is reduced, user installation data and plot control and regulation adjustment planning are combined, load prediction of a future power grid is carried out, data checking errors are avoided, and the prediction accuracy is improved; data are summarized and stored through the arranged data storage module, later calling and checking are facilitated, and meanwhile data loss is avoided; and the prediction result is combined with the plot area network through the arranged result display module, so that the prediction result is displayed more intuitively.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of grid forecasting, in particular to a distribution network load forecasting device and method based on user reports and plots. Background technique [0002] With the development of society and economy, the scale of the power grid continues to expand, and the load on the power grid continues to rise. The development of the power grid needs to consume a lot of resources and investment. Whether the planning is correct or not plays an extremely important role in the development of the subsequent power grid. It is of great practical significance to conduct research in order to maximize the quality of planning. The purpose of grid planning is to establish a grid structure that is safe, reliable, adaptable, and reasonably structured, and can meet the needs of urban and rural economic and social development and domestic electricity consumption. The first step to achieve this goal is to do a good job of load foreca...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q50/06
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/06Y04S10/50
Inventor 王凯亮李俊辉乐敏孔慧超梁耀林吴新雄曾子县罗煜叶健鹏薛琰
Owner GUANGDONG POWER GRID CO LTD DONGGUAN POWER SUPPLY BUREAU
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