Stock market investment decision-making method based on network analysis and multi-model fusion

A technology of network analysis and decision-making method, applied in the field of stock market investment decision-making based on network analysis and multi-model fusion, can solve problems such as negative returns, high investment risks, and limited information utilization

Inactive Publication Date: 2014-08-13
XI AN JIAOTONG UNIV
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Problems solved by technology

However, these forecasting methods are based on the law of historical data for predictive analysis, which belongs to the idea of ​​technical analysis, and its theory is refuted by the efficient market hypothesis, and the information it uses is limited
And the traditional research only considers the prediction accuracy rate, and considering the frequent fluctuation of the actual stock price, the accuracy rate does not directly correspond to the actual investment income, and even a high prediction accuracy rate may bring negative returns. In addition, such a portfolio May bring higher investment risk
[0006] At the same time, traditional stock price trend analysis and prediction methods do not take into account the scale and timeliness of data, so the amount of information used is very limite

Method used

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  • Stock market investment decision-making method based on network analysis and multi-model fusion
  • Stock market investment decision-making method based on network analysis and multi-model fusion
  • Stock market investment decision-making method based on network analysis and multi-model fusion

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Embodiment Construction

[0148] The present invention will be further described in detail below in conjunction with specific embodiments, which are explanations of the present invention rather than limitations.

[0149] see figure 1 , first capture fundamental information from the network, build network nodes and network connections on this basis, and form a complex social network model; use network analysis methods to select investment portfolios, and then input the data involved in the investment portfolios into the multi-model fusion in the frame;

[0150] The multi-model fusion framework includes a plurality of sub-models, and each sub-model predicts market trends with different characteristics according to the technical information of different characteristics captured from the network, generates respective prediction values, and then weights the prediction values ​​to obtain And, get the comprehensive market trend prediction value, and generate the corresponding investment strategy according to...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a stock market investment decision-making method based on network analysis and multi-model fusion. The method includes the steps that fundamental information is grabbed from a network and then network nodes and network connection are constructed; a complex social network model is constructed; an investment portfolio is selected by means of a network analysis method and then data involved in the investment portfolio are input into a multi-model fusion frame, wherein the multi-model fusion frame comprises a plurality of sub-models; all the sub-models conduct market trend prediction with different characteristics according to technical information of different characteristics grabbed in the network generate predicted values of the corresponding sub-models, the predicted values are weighted and summated to obtain a comprehensive market trend predicted value, and then corresponding investment strategies are generated according to the comprehensive market trend predicted value. According to the method, risk factors, which are ignored in general researches, of the investment portfolio are comprehensively considered from multiple angles, real-time requirements of the strategies are guaranteed through the methods such as dimension reduction data preselection of fundamentals and technical feature selection, and consequently the more reliable investment strategies are provided.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of stock market investment strategy analysis and relates to a stock market investment decision-making method based on network analysis and multi-model fusion. Background technique [0002] The financial market is the core of a country's economic operation. Therefore, the issue of securities investment strategy has always been one of the core issues that are most concerned by the investment theory and investment practice circles of various countries. The securities investment strategy reflects our understanding of the laws of the financial market and investor psychology. , is a rule system and action plan to guide investment behavior specified according to investment objectives. Among them, technical analysis and fundamental analysis methods are two main investment analysis methods. Among them, technical analysis is mainly used in the time and space judgment of specific investment operations, and fundamental...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q40/06G06Q40/04G06Q10/04H04L29/06
Inventor 彭勤科钟韬关新宇王晓秦小雨朱志博孙智
Owner XI AN JIAOTONG UNIV
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