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Electricity consumption calculating method based on climate

A computing method and electric power technology, applied in computing, instrumentation, data processing applications, etc., can solve the problems of different vulnerability of energy systems to climate change, etc.

Inactive Publication Date: 2016-12-14
CHINA UNIV OF MINING & TECH (BEIJING)
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  • Description
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Problems solved by technology

[0003] For different countries and regions, the climate change vulnerability of the energy system is different, and the research results of developed countries cannot be directly used in the research of China

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  • Electricity consumption calculating method based on climate
  • Electricity consumption calculating method based on climate
  • Electricity consumption calculating method based on climate

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Embodiment Construction

[0103] Embodiments of the present invention are described in detail below, examples of which are shown in the drawings, wherein the same or similar reference numerals denote the same or similar elements or elements having the same or similar functions throughout. The embodiments described below by referring to the figures are exemplary only for explaining the present invention and should not be construed as limiting the present invention.

[0104] Those skilled in the art will understand that unless otherwise stated, the singular forms "a", "an", "said" and "the" used herein may also include plural forms. It should be further understood that the word "comprising" used in the description of the present invention refers to the presence of said features, integers, steps, operations, elements and / or components, but does not exclude the presence or addition of one or more other features, Integers, steps, operations, elements, components, and / or groups thereof. It will be understoo...

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Abstract

The invention provides an electricity consumption calculating method based on climate. The method comprises the steps: collecting and managing the historical data of electricity consumption in the power industry, and determining the climatic factors and non-climatic factors affecting the calculation of the electricity consumption, wherein the climatic factors comprise air temperature, sunlight and rainfall, and the non-climatic factors comprise an industrial added value and the price of electricity; building a calculation model (shown in the description) of electricity consumption for each department according to the historical data of electricity consumption in the power industry and the climatic and non-climatic factors, wherein a dependent variable (eh)t is the daily mean electricity consumption amount of each department in a t-th month, c is intercept, and Wpt is a mixed climatic factor combination. The method employs the monthly time data, builds a regression model, finds the seasonable law of electricity consumption, analyzes the features of vulnerability of climate to the power demands of different industrial departments and the lives of residents, and can provide more specific and direct policy guidance for the planning of power production, the alleviating of power supply and demand conflict and the guaranteeing of power safety level.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of power consumption calculation, in particular to a climate-based power consumption calculation method. Background technique [0002] It has become a widely accepted scientific fact that global warming is mainly caused by human activities, especially greenhouse gases mainly CO2 emitted from fossil energy combustion. At the same time, climate change also has an impact on the energy system (that is, the vulnerability of the energy system to climate change). For example, high temperature in summer will increase residents' demand for air conditioning and cooling, which in turn will drive the growth of residents' electricity consumption; warm winter climate will reduce residents' need for housing heating demand, thereby reducing the consumption of heating fuel. The IPCC Third Assessment Report pointed out that the energy sector is the most vulnerable sector to climate change. Therefore, a circular feedback rel...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/06G06Q50/06
CPCG06Q10/06315G06Q50/06
Inventor 樊静丽侯运炳胡佳威潘欣孔令斯张瑜鹏李家全王建达王蓬涛许毛
Owner CHINA UNIV OF MINING & TECH (BEIJING)
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