The invention discloses a day-ahead
electricity price prediction method based on market subject behavior pattern and finite rationality theory
simulation, and belongs to the technical field of
electricity price prediction, and the method comprises the steps: S1, analyzing the day-ahead
market transaction process of typical markets at home and abroad; s2, introducing a
simulation declaration information strategy coefficient, constructing a day-ahead power
price prediction framework based on a
market participant behavior mode and finite rationality theory
simulation, and representing and simulating market subject
declaration information; s3, predicting market subject
declaration information based on a typical
time sequence prediction model; and S4, combining the predicted declaration information of each subject, superposing to form the overall declaration quantity-price curve information of the market, and obtaining the predicted day-ahead
electricity price. According to the method, the problems that the
influence factor dynamic characteristics of the day-ahead
electricity price change are difficult to extract and the forming mechanism of the day-ahead
electricity price is difficult to reflect in the prior art are solved. According to the method, more accurate day-ahead
electricity price prediction is obtained by reasonably simulating the
coupling relationship between the market declaration behavior information and the day-ahead electricity price.