Expressway traffic flow prediction method based on DenseNet

A forecasting method and expressway technology, applied in traffic flow detection, traffic control system of road vehicles, forecasting, etc., can solve the problem that the potential trend of traffic flow data cannot be considered, and achieve the effect of highlighting substantive characteristics and good forecasting effect.

Active Publication Date: 2018-12-18
NANJING UNIV OF POSTS & TELECOMM
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AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0006] In order to overcome the shortcomings of the prior art, the present invention provides a DenseNet-based expressway traffic flow prediction method, which ...

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  • Expressway traffic flow prediction method based on DenseNet
  • Expressway traffic flow prediction method based on DenseNet
  • Expressway traffic flow prediction method based on DenseNet

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Embodiment Construction

[0026] Below in conjunction with accompanying drawing, the present invention is described in further detail.

[0027] The expressway traffic flow forecasting method based on DenseNet (Dense Convolutional Network) of the present invention, its summary feature is: for the one-dimensional traffic flow data of input, preprocess data, then construct and iteratively train DenseNet network model, finally to traffic flow forecast.

[0028] Such as figure 1 The flow chart shown can be seen, and the specific steps are as follows:

[0029] 1), input traffic flow data

[0030] According to the time relationship, the traffic flow data is divided into weekend (X1) and non-weekend data (X2), and a training and testing set is constructed. Take X as the training data, and Y is the label corresponding to the training data, that is, the real value. The reading dimension of X is (m, n), and the dimension of Y is (m, 1), where m represents the number of samples constructed according to the ori...

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Abstract

The invention discloses an expressway traffic flow prediction method based on a DenseNet. On the basis of researching a deep two-dimensional convolution network DenseNet, one-dimensional traffic flowdata is imported, in addition, input and convolution ways in a network are revised, so that the network learns a hidden rule in one-dimensional time sequence data, and expressway traffic flow prediction of a next stage is effectively realized. The method comprises the following implementation steps that: (1) reading traffic flow data, and constructing a training test set; (2) carrying out data preprocessing, transforming a four-dimensional tensor, and carrying out normalization to adapt to network learning; (3) constructing the network; (4) training the network, inputting a training sample, updating network parameters through a forward direction prediction result and error backpropagation, and carrying out loop iteration until network convergence is realized; and (5) testing the network, and carrying out traffic flow prediction on the test set. The method can automatically learn a hidden characteristic relationship between flows in a flow dataset, has a better prediction effect and iswidely applied to traffic flow prediction.

Description

technical field [0001] The present invention relates to a highway traffic flow prediction system and method, in particular to a highway traffic flow prediction system and method based on DenseNet. Background technique [0002] Based on the traffic flow monitoring data of real-time road conditions, the prediction of expressway traffic flow plays an important role in promoting the process of traffic informatization. Its purpose is to accurately collect traffic flow data in real time through video cameras, radar and other sensing terminals; to intervene in advance according to the actual traffic operation conditions, weaken the influence of various factors on traffic flow, and prevent traffic accidents caused by vehicle failures and traffic accidents. Expressway congestion; ensure smooth roads and driving safety, and realize the harmonious operation of people, vehicles and roads. [0003] According to reliable estimates, by 2020, the national expressway network will be basical...

Claims

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G08G1/01G06Q10/04G06Q50/26
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/26G08G1/0125
Inventor 李德志成孝刚汪涛吕泓君钱俊鹏任俊弛
Owner NANJING UNIV OF POSTS & TELECOMM
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