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Operational red tide early warning method and computer readable storage medium

A red tide and operational technology, applied in the field of operational red tide early warning methods and computer-readable storage media, can solve the problems of inability to truly start red tide forecasting, difficulty in monitoring small-scale red tides, and low spatial resolution, and reduce overfitting. The effect of the occurrence probability of the phenomenon, the reduction of the convergence time, and the high prediction accuracy

Active Publication Date: 2022-06-21
FUJIAN MARINE FORECASTS
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  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

However, no matter which forecasting method is used, it is only a means of red tide forecasting. Most of the red tide forecasting methods cannot be operated operationally. Only two kinds of red tide forecasting by meteorological conditions and remote sensing methods can be used for large-scale macro forecasting applications.
Meteorological conditions are only the inducing conditions of red tides, not the main conditions. Because the red tide disaster itself is limited by many conditions, the accuracy of the red tide weather forecasting method is not high; ability, but also has its own shortcomings, for example, it cannot work around the clock, and cannot monitor red tides in rainy weather and at night. In addition, the spatial resolution is low, and it is very difficult to monitor small-scale red tides
[0005] Sufficient, time-sensitive, and quality-assured data support is the basis for the commercial implementation of red tide forecasting. Even a neural network model with a very good fit is only a statistical means of discussion. In the absence of data It is impossible to really start the red tide forecasting work

Method used

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  • Operational red tide early warning method and computer readable storage medium
  • Operational red tide early warning method and computer readable storage medium
  • Operational red tide early warning method and computer readable storage medium

Examples

Experimental program
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Effect test

Embodiment 1

[0123] Please refer to Figure 2-3 , the first embodiment of the present invention is: an operational red tide early warning method, which can be applied to marine red tide early warning, such as figure 2 shown, including the following steps:

[0124] S1: Obtain the ecological data of the red tide occurrence area from the preset first day before the red tide to the preset first day after the red tide, obtain the red tide sample, mark the ecological data during the red tide as red tide data, and mark the other Ecological data is labeled as non-red tide data, which contains data for multiple variables. Among them, the red tide occurrence area refers to the approximate area given by the official where red tide occurs, and the red tide occurrence period refers to the rough time period given by the official for the occurrence of red tide.

[0125] In this embodiment, the preset first number of days is 15 days, that is, the ecological data of the red tide occurrence area during t...

Embodiment 2

[0197] Please refer to Figure 4-7 , this embodiment is a further expansion of step S3 in the first embodiment, such as Figure 4 As shown, step S3 specifically includes the following steps:

[0198] S301: Divide a red tide sample into training data and test data according to a preset ratio. For example, take 80% of the data of a red tide sample as training data and 20% of the data as test data. When a red tide sample has a total of 2148 sets of data, 1718 sets of data in the sample are randomly selected as training data, and the remaining 430 sets of data are used as test data.

[0199] S302: Train a preset SOM neural network according to the training data, where the output layer of the SOM neural network includes a×b neurons, where a and b are preset values.

[0200] For example, before this step, the SOM neural network is pre-built, and the output of the SOM neural network is set to a 7*7 grid, which contains a total of 49 neurons, such as Figure 5 shown. Then use the...

Embodiment 3

[0230] Please refer to Figure 8 , this embodiment is a further expansion of step S4 in the first embodiment, and step S4 specifically includes the following steps:

[0231] S401: Divide the fixed training data into training data and test data according to a preset ratio. For example, take 80% of the data of a red tide sample as training data and 20% of the data as test data.

[0232] S402: Randomly generate a preset number of initial string structure data to obtain an initial population. Wherein, each bit in the initial string structure data is in one-to-one correspondence with each variable in the fixed training data, so the length of the initial string structure data is the same as the number of variables in the ecological data, and the value of each bit is is the first character or the second character. Among them, the variable corresponding to the bit whose value is the first character participates in the modeling, that is, participating in the training and prediction ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a commercial red tide early warning method and a computer-readable storage medium. The method includes: obtaining red tide samples and performing preprocessing; screening the red tide samples to obtain fixed sample data; determining the final input variable through a genetic algorithm; constructing Neural network model; obtain temporary sample data and perform preprocessing; obtain forecast sample data according to the final input variables in the fixed sample data and temporary sample data; generate m+n forecast training data corresponding to each forecast sample data, and respectively m+n neural network models for training; obtain the latest m-day real-time data, input the previous m-1+n neural network models respectively, and combine the m-day real-time data into the m+nth neural network model, Obtain the forecast results corresponding to n days in the future; analyze the red tide occurrence probability level of that day according to the forecast results corresponding to the same day in the future. The invention can realize relatively accurate operational red tide early warning.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of red tide forecasting, in particular to a business red tide early warning method and a computer-readable storage medium. Background technique [0002] Red tide is an abnormal phenomenon in marine ecosystems, which is caused by the explosive proliferation of red tide algae in the seaweed family under specific environmental conditions. Seaweed is a huge family, except for some large seaweeds, many are very tiny plants, and some are single-celled plants. Depending on the species and number of organisms that cause red tides, seawater sometimes appears in different colors such as yellow, green, and brown. Red tides not only cause serious harm to the marine environment, marine fisheries and marine aquaculture, but also have certain impacts on human health and life safety. With the rapid development of industrial and agricultural production, marine environmental pollution, trophication of water bodies in river ...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Patents(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06N3/04G06N3/08G06Q50/26
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q50/26G06N3/04G06N3/08
Inventor 李雪丁张友权李星郑祥靖郭民权丁萍陈金瑞朱本璐任在常张彩云丁文祥
Owner FUJIAN MARINE FORECASTS
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