Photovoltaic hybrid energy storage control method considering prediction error compensation and fluctuation stabilization
A technology for compensating prediction and stabilizing fluctuations, which is applied in the directions of photovoltaic power generation, energy storage, single-network parallel feeding arrangement, etc., and can solve problems such as volatility, photovoltaic power grid-connected uncertainty, randomness, etc., to reduce uncertainty  performance, prevent overcharge and overdischarge, and solve the effect of overcharge and overdischarge
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[0104] 1 Formulate the target domain for compensating forecast errors and smoothing fluctuations
[0105] 1.1 Analysis of prediction error and power fluctuation based on probability and statistics distribution
[0106] The description of photovoltaic prediction error and power fluctuation distribution is mainly focused on a single distribution model, and a typical daily data of a photovoltaic power station is selected to analyze the prediction error and power fluctuation. figure 2 It is the fitting curve of toocation-scale distribution of photovoltaic power prediction error and power fluctuation, and the probability density function expression of toocation-scale distribution is:
[0107]
[0108] In the formula: Γ(x) is the gamma function, σ is the scale parameter, v is the degree of freedom, if write Then y follows a t-distribution with v degrees of freedom.
[0109] Depend on figure 2 It can be seen that the probability distribution of prediction error and power flu...
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