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Wind power plant short-term power prediction method based on feature selection and multi-level deep transfer learning

A technology of transfer learning and power prediction, applied in neural learning methods, predictions, instruments, etc., can solve problems such as the impact of network model prediction accuracy, poor complex information processing effect, and less accumulated wind power operation data, so as to improve the accuracy of prediction models, The effect of reducing size and reducing nesting problems

Active Publication Date: 2021-06-11
HUAZHONG UNIV OF SCI & TECH
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Problems solved by technology

[0003] Due to the continuous transformation and maintenance of wind farms in actual operation, and the short running time of wind power grid connection, the cumulative data of wind power operation is less, which has a great impact on the prediction accuracy of network models that require a large amount of data for prediction.
In addition, shallow neural networks are less effective in processing complex information, so the short-term power prediction of wind farms still needs to be greatly improved

Method used

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  • Wind power plant short-term power prediction method based on feature selection and multi-level deep transfer learning

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Embodiment Construction

[0029] The following is a specific description in conjunction with the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention. The purpose of the present invention is to provide a short-term power prediction method for wind farms based on feature selection and multi-level deep transfer learning.

[0030] Such as figure 1 As shown, a wind farm short-term power prediction method based on feature selection and multi-level deep transfer learning includes the following steps:

[0031] S1: Collect wind farm data for data division and correlation analysis. The specific steps include:

[0032] S1.1: Collect wind farm time step length of 15 minutes and 600 consecutive days of data;

[0033] S1.2: Divide the collected data into two data sets, of which 10% of the data is used as the target wind farm data for transfer learning, and 90% of the data is used as the source wind farm data for transfer learning;

[0034] S1.3: Establish a prediction model based on a small amount of data of the ...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a wind power plant short-term power prediction method based on feature selection and multi-level deep transfer learning, and the method comprises the steps: dividing collected data into two data sets which are respectively used as a target wind power plant and a source wind power plant for transfer learning; firstly, subjecting data samples of a source wind power plant to multi-level division according to the degree of correlation with a target wind power plant, then creating a multi-level deep migration learning model of the target wind power plant based on the multi-level data samples of the source wind power plant, and finally, optimizing the multi-level deep migration learning model by adopting a feature selection method. Through prediction of the method, the data training scale can be reduced, data overfitting is avoided, and the method has popularization value.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a short-term power prediction method of a wind farm based on feature selection and multi-level deep transfer learning, which belongs to the field of new energy power prediction. Background technique [0002] With the increasing installed capacity of wind power year by year, wind power has become a powerful means of new energy power generation. Therefore, the contradiction between the problem of wind power generation and the growing demand for electricity has become increasingly prominent. The randomness and instability of wind power generation have brought difficulties to wind power grid integration, so the demand for wind power prediction continues to grow. [0003] Due to the continuous transformation and maintenance of wind farms in actual operation, and the short running time of wind power grid connection, the cumulative data of wind power operation is less, which has a great impact on the prediction accuracy of network mod...

Claims

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06F30/27G06N3/04G06N3/08G06K9/62G06Q50/06
CPCG06Q10/04G06F30/27G06N3/04G06N3/084G06Q50/06G06F18/214Y04S10/50
Inventor 彭小圣王洪雨贾诗媛
Owner HUAZHONG UNIV OF SCI & TECH
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