A method, device, equipment and storage medium for predicting production capacity of an assembly production line

Abstract

The present application discloses a method, device, equipment and storage medium for predicting the production capacity of an assembly production line. By obtaining historical production data of a target production line within a preset period, and according to the disturbance factors corresponding to each downtime period, the production capacity of each production stage is obtained. For the disturbance period generated by each disturbance factor, perform statistical distribution fitting on the disturbance period generated by each disturbance factor in each production stage, and obtain the disturbance period distribution of each disturbance factor in each production stage; According to the disturbance period distribution, the predicted disturbance period distribution of each production stage of the adjusted target production line is predicted; according to the predicted disturbance period distribution, the production capacity of the adjusted target production line is predicted. The existing technical problem that the production capacity of the aircraft production line cannot be accurately predicted by only using the simulation modeling method is solved, and the accuracy of the production capacity prediction of the assembly production line is improved.

Description

technical field [0001] The present application relates to the technical field of equipment production, and in particular, to a production capacity prediction method, device, equipment and storage medium of an assembly production line. Background technique [0002] For some large-scale special equipment production lines, the process route is long, and the production cycle often reaches dozens of days. At the same time, due to the complexity of its products, it is easily affected by local process failures and missing materials. After being affected, in order to ensure the production progress, it will be Temporarily adjust the production route. Therefore, a capacity forecast for the adjusted production line is required. [0003] Existing methods usually use simulation modeling to make predictions, but for aircraft production lines, the existing simulation modeling methods cannot accurately predict the production capacity. SUMMARY OF THE INVENTION [0004] The main purpose o...

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Problems solved by technology

[0004] The main purpose of this application is to provide a method, device, equipment, and storage medium for predicting the capacity of an assembly production line, aiming to solve the technical problem that the existing simulation modeling methods cannot accurately predict the capacity of an aircraft production line

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