The invention relates to the technical field of water conservancy and
hydropower engineering construction, discloses an
optimal design method for the length of a tunnel
plug in the main
flood season of extra-high dam construction, and solves the problems that in a design scheme of the length of the tunnel
plug in the traditional technology, the project investment is increased, the construction period is prolonged, and the reliability analysis of the tunnel plug is not comprehensive enough. The method comprises the following steps: firstly, determining a tunnel control sliding interface through
engineering basic
parameter analysis, and initially simulating the length of a tunnel plug; then building an anti-sliding stable
failure risk model of the tunnel
plug in the main
flood season of the ultra-high dam construction; then determining distribution parameters of main random factors influencing the
water load and the anti-sliding force; then, based on the initially planned length of the tunnel plug, in combination with distribution parameters of main random factors influencing the
water load and the anti-sliding force,
random simulation of the
water load generated by the maximum flood level of dam
flood control in the main
flood season and the total anti-sliding force generated by the tunnel plug is carried out; according to the stochastic
simulation result, the anti-sliding stability
failure risk rate of the plug is estimated; and finally, according to the estimated anti-sliding stability
failure risk rate, optimizing the length of the tunnel plug until the convergence condition is met.