The invention discloses a box-type substation state monitoring and early warning method based on
artificial intelligence, relates to the technical field of intelligent power grids, and aims to solve the problems of missing report, false report and response
lag caused by the fact that an existing static threshold ignores multi-physical
coupling and a depth model highly depends on scarce fault samples. According to the scheme, sliding window
kernel density estimation is carried out on a multi-channel
time sequence signal, a
dynamic coupling matrix is constructed through
recursion Copula
decomposition, a three-level threshold surface is generated through time-varying
quantile regression, abnormal samples and graph
attention network extraction
state representation are generated in combination with a conditional variation auto-
encoder, lightweight
recursion pruning is carried out, and the
dynamic coupling matrix is obtained. An abnormal
score is generated through a multilayer
Bayesian network and particle filtering, a multi-step risk trend is discriminated through a
Gaussian kernel derivative slope, and finally
unscented Kalman filtering is used for
smoothing and online threshold correction; according to the method, the detection sensitivity and the early warning
recall rate of the box-type substation to the transient
coupling fault are remarkably improved, the response speed is improved, and the
false alarm frequency is effectively reduced.