The invention discloses a thermal power
plant DCS fault prediction and diagnosis method and
system, and relates to the technical field of fault prediction and diagnosis, and the method comprises the steps: obtaining equipment information and operation parameter reference values, and generating a to-be-detected equipment
list; target equipment is determined based on the importance degree, a
communication channel is established to collect real-
time data, a parameter fluctuation
characteristic matrix is constructed, a reference value is dynamically calibrated, and a calibration parameter set is generated; historical fault
feature data are collected, and a fault feature
library is established; generating a
state vector matrix based on the calibration parameter set and the real-
time data, and calculating an early warning index in combination with the fault feature
library; calculating a risk coefficient during monitoring, dynamically optimizing an early warning threshold value, and completing early warning configuration; on the basis, diagnosis is executed, a standardized diagnosis process is generated, and a diagnosis
knowledge base is formed; and when an exception occurs, triggering hierarchical
rollback and updating the
knowledge base to realize
continuous optimization. The
system comprises a master control module, a configuration module, a prediction diagnosis module, a transmission module and a display module.