The invention relates to the technical field of
risk assessment, and discloses a
power grid provincial management industry stock right investment
risk assessment method, which comprises the following steps: a
system identifies stock right investment risk types, determines main influence factors of different risks, constructs a GDP growth prediction model based on ARIMA, forms market risk
quantitative assessment standard formulation, constructs a load prediction model based on SAO optimization LSTM, and provides a
power grid provincial management industry stock right investment
risk assessment system. The method comprises the following steps: establishing an operation
risk level evaluation model based on Markov and LS-SVM, forming operation risk quantitative evaluation standard formulation, constructing an operation
risk level evaluation model based on Markov and LS-SVM, realizing operation risk quantitative evaluation standard formulation, applying a neural
network model, realizing scientific setting of market risk, operation risk and operation risk
score weight, and obtaining a final
risk evaluation result. According to the method, the actual current situation of the
power grid equity investment is combined, the main
risk type of the power grid equity investment is systematically evaluated through a series of advanced intelligent
prediction methods, and therefore scientific and quantitative support is provided for investment
decision making.