The invention relates to the technical field of
wind power plant short-term
wind power prediction, in particular to a
wind power plant short-term wind power prediction method based on data mode pre-judgment. Comprising the following steps: collecting historical multi-dimensional
feature data, dividing the data into a core group and an edge group according to frequency, generating fine-grained codes by the core group through a sliding window, generating sparse codes by the edge
group based on events, and constructing a time-space coding matrix with balanced frequency in combination with an adaptive weight
algorithm; after the matrix is segmented, an intensive mode and an envelope mode are extracted, and meteorological type, unit topology and time dynamic three-level indexes are constructed and stored in a historical mode
library; extracting a corresponding mode from the real-
time data, matching a historical mode
library through three-level indexes, and classifying the historical mode
library into four association
modes; based on association mode grading weight fusion prediction, forming a composite prediction model; and comparing prediction and actual measurement results in real time, and triggering an
adaptive learning updating model. The method effectively balances the influence of high-frequency and low-frequency events, and improves the prediction precision and model adaptability.