Method for predicting residual life of avionics product

A life prediction and product technology, which is applied in prediction, neural learning methods, instruments, etc., can solve problems such as the dependence of the prediction effect on the degree of consistency, the definition of the remaining life of the real product, and the lack of learning ability to support it, so as to achieve good overall reusability , fast running and highly reusable effects

Active Publication Date: 2022-06-03
10TH RES INST OF CETC
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Problems solved by technology

The core of the long short-term memory neural network LSTM model is the network unit state and three gate structures (forget gate, input gate and output gate). The network unit state is composed of two activation functions (sigmoid and tanh). Through the three gate structures It effectively solves the problems of gradient disappearance and weak long-term memory ability of the recurrent neural network, but its prediction effect depends on the degree of consistency between the distribution of training data and prediction data, and the learning ability of a single model is not enough to support the definition of real from similar product data. Product remaining life

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  • Method for predicting residual life of avionics product
  • Method for predicting residual life of avionics product
  • Method for predicting residual life of avionics product

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Embodiment Construction

[0017] see figure 1 . According to the present invention, sensors are preset in avionics products, functional performance index data of similar products and real products are collected and recorded, static feature extraction and normalization processing are performed on the functional index data obtained by the preset sensors, and The functional performance index data is constructed as a sample set of similar products SP_SAMPLE and a sample set of real products RP_SAMPLE, and the construction of the sample set is completed;

According to different structural range parameters, initialize multiple LSTM time series models to form an LSTM model group with three gate structures of forget gate, input gate, and output gate and network units, and input similar product sample sets into the initialized LSTM model group to predict LSTM. Model group initial training and transfer training. In transfer learning training, the real product sample set is input into the LSTM model group after ...

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Abstract

According to the method for predicting the residual life of the avionics product, the prediction precision and reliability of the residual life can be improved. The method is realized through the following technical scheme: a preset sensor obtains functional index data of a real avionics product and a similar avionics product, static feature extraction and normalization processing are carried out, and the functional index data are constructed into a sample set; initializing a plurality of LSTM time sequence models to form an LSTM model group; in transfer learning, carrying out transfer training and target domain global fine tuning on each LSTM time sequence model by using a real product sample set; calculating a fusion weight according to an improved voting weighting algorithm; a standard interface of a complete prediction framework is defined, functions of the complete prediction framework are split and packaged in a sample construction module, an improved LSTM model construction module and a prediction framework integration module, the degradation evolution and the residual life of a target product are predicted, and the degradation evolution and the residual life of the target product are accurately predicted by the prediction framework.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to a ground maintenance system for avionics products, in particular to a method for predicting the remaining life of avionics products based on the fusion of multiple long and short-term memory neural networks. Background technique [0002] With the passage of working time, under the combined effect of internal and external factors, the performance and health status of any equipment will inevitably show a trend of decline, and performance degradation will inevitably occur until failure. When the recession reaches a certain level, the equipment will not be able to complete normal tasks and functions, resulting in irreversible economic losses and waste of resources. Aerospace equipment often faces the problem of high failure rate, and the traditional inspection and maintenance methods with regular replacement as the mainstream can no longer meet the needs of operation and maintenance support under the trend of intelligence, modulari...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q10/00G06N3/04G06N3/08G06N3/10G06F8/36
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q10/20G06N3/08G06N3/10G06F8/36G06N3/048G06N3/044Y02P90/30
Inventor 梁天辰文佳周静宇陈擎宙
Owner 10TH RES INST OF CETC
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