New energy penetration rate assessment method based on probability power flow calculation
A probabilistic power flow calculation and new energy technology, applied in AC network circuits, AC network voltage adjustment, AC circuit layout for emergency treatment, etc.
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[0045] In an embodiment of the present invention, the steps are as figure 1 Shown.
[0046] Step 1 is to establish a probability distribution model of wind and solar power station power and load power, which specifically includes the following:
[0047] Assuming that the wind speed obeys the Weibull distribution with two parameters, the probability model is:
[0048] f ( x ) = b a ( x a ) b - 1 e [ - ( x a ) b ]
[0049] In the above formula, x is the wind speed, a and b respectively represent the two parameters of the Weibull distribution, a is the scale parameter, and b is the shape parameter;
[0050] Substituting the wind speed probability model into the following formula, the output power of the fan can be obtained by using the typical fan output power model shown in the following formula:
[0051] P w i n d = 0 W s V i P w i n d = P r · ...
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