Prediction method for incoming call traffic of power client service center

A technology of customer service center and forecasting method, which is applied in the field of forecasting incoming call traffic of electric power customer service center, can solve problems such as the inability to scientifically measure the degree of influence, inability to automatically correct the forecast model, analysis and verification of manual experience, etc., to improve lean The effect of optimizing the management level, saving the cost of manual forecasting, and shortening the response time

Inactive Publication Date: 2017-05-24
国家电网有限公司客户服务中心 +4
View PDF5 Cites 19 Cited by
  • Summary
  • Abstract
  • Description
  • Claims
  • Application Information

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0005] (1) The summary analysis of the influencing factors of dialogue traffic relies on manual experience, and the real influencing factors have not been analyzed through big data to verify manual experience;
[0006] (2) Because it is impossible to scientifically measure the impact of various influencing factors on traffic forecasting, the traffic forecasting model excludes other influencing factors except temperature, weather, and air temperature factors, and the prediction accuracy is low;
[0007] (3) The influencing factors of traffic forecasting rely on manual summary analysis, and the forecasting model cannot be automatically corrected after the summary analysis, and the actual forecasting relies on the manual intervention of forecasters

Method used

the structure of the environmentally friendly knitted fabric provided by the present invention; figure 2 Flow chart of the yarn wrapping machine for environmentally friendly knitted fabrics and storage devices; image 3 Is the parameter map of the yarn covering machine
View more

Image

Smart Image Click on the blue labels to locate them in the text.
Viewing Examples
Smart Image
  • Prediction method for incoming call traffic of power client service center
  • Prediction method for incoming call traffic of power client service center
  • Prediction method for incoming call traffic of power client service center

Examples

Experimental program
Comparison scheme
Effect test

Embodiment 1

[0031] figure 1 Flow chart of the forecasting method for the incoming call traffic of the electric power customer service center, such as figure 1 As shown, the present invention provides a method for predicting incoming call traffic of a power customer service center, comprising the following steps:

[0032] Step 1: analyzing the content information of the call service, counting the types of the call service, and summarizing the main problems accepted by the customer service center;

[0033] Step 2. Based on the historical data of 3-5 years, determine the noise points in the data, analyze the factors that affect the sudden increase and decrease of the traffic volume, and confirm the key influencing factors and the influencing values ​​of the factors;

[0034] The third step is to analyze the change trend of the traffic according to the time period, extract the periodic law of the traffic, and establish the prediction model of the traffic.

Embodiment 2

[0036] In step one, if figure 2 As shown in Fig. 1, the text is extracted from the original traffic service content information to generate traffic text information, and the text information is segmented on the basis of the existing traffic influencing factor word segmentation candidate dictionary, the business tag cloud is established, and the traffic service acceptance problem is analyzed. Classification, summing up the primary and secondary levels of traffic services, and statistics of traffic service categories.

[0037] In step 2, the analysis of the changing trend of the traffic volume is based on historical data, and the annual overall traffic volume, the monthly overall traffic volume, the daily traffic volume within a month, and the intra-week traffic volume are respectively analyzed in a visual statistical method. Daily and hourly fluctuation trends in a single day,

[0038] The traffic volume forecast is based on the monthly traffic volume data, and the noise impa...

Embodiment 3

[0052] Wherein, the daily and hourly traffic data of a week is used to determine the distribution of traffic volume and remove noise points, and the time series decomposition and addition model of traffic volume prediction is established.

[0053] Steps to remove noise: Replace the noise data determined in step 2 with the average data of the noise period in the data of two adjacent days.

[0054] Constructing the Time Series Decomposition and Addition Model of Traffic at Time k

[0055]

[0056] in, is the hourly average value, that is, the average traffic volume of each hour in a day, and there are 24 in total; S k (weekday) is the weekly adjustment factor, there are 7 in total; I k is the residual item, which belongs to the fitting normal noise level item in the time series decomposition.

the structure of the environmentally friendly knitted fabric provided by the present invention; figure 2 Flow chart of the yarn wrapping machine for environmentally friendly knitted fabrics and storage devices; image 3 Is the parameter map of the yarn covering machine
Login to view more

PUM

No PUM Login to view more

Abstract

The invention relates to a prediction method for the incoming call traffic of a power client service center. The method comprises the following steps that 1) telephone service content information is analyzed, types of telephone services are arranged, and main problems accepted by the client service center are concluded; 2) on the basis of historical data of 3 to 5 years, noise points in the data are determined, reasons for sudden increase and decrease of the telephone traffic are analyzed, and key influential factors and influence values of the factors are confirmed; and 3) the change trend of the incoming call traffic is analyzed according to a time period, periodic rules of the telephone traffic are extracted, and a prediction model of the telephone traffic is established. The prediction method can be used to predict the telephone traffic effectively, the prediction accuracy is improved via a historical big data sample and multi-level influential factor analysis, the utilization rate of present telephone service representatives is maximized, the perfecting management level of a power company is improved, the cost of telephone construction is reduced, and response time of service demands of clients is shortened.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the technical field of communication, in particular to a method for predicting incoming call traffic of an electric power customer service center. Background technique [0002] The 95598 customer service center of the State Grid Corporation has achieved national customer service concentration. Compared with the previous distribution mode in various provinces, the number of agent representatives and the scale of service customers are unprecedentedly large. In this mode, both in terms of customer service quality assurance and reasonable agent scheduling, the difficulty increases exponentially. How to effectively control the cost of agent resources on the premise of ensuring the shortest waiting time for customer calls is the primary problem facing 95598 customer service. How to schedule agent resources first depends on how many incoming calls will be made by customers who will use electricity in the future. At present, the cust...

Claims

the structure of the environmentally friendly knitted fabric provided by the present invention; figure 2 Flow chart of the yarn wrapping machine for environmentally friendly knitted fabrics and storage devices; image 3 Is the parameter map of the yarn covering machine
Login to view more

Application Information

Patent Timeline
no application Login to view more
Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): H04M3/36
CPCH04M3/362
Inventor 杨维马永波申蕾穆松鹤朱克唐振营樊爱军刘剑锋马红波覃华勤王莹煜胡博田浩杰谷万江金宇坤刘君刘巍
Owner 国家电网有限公司客户服务中心
Who we serve
  • R&D Engineer
  • R&D Manager
  • IP Professional
Why Eureka
  • Industry Leading Data Capabilities
  • Powerful AI technology
  • Patent DNA Extraction
Social media
Try Eureka
PatSnap group products