Rail transport passenger flow prediction method based on rail IC card and mobile phone signaling data

Abstract

The invention relates to a rail transport passenger flow prediction method based on a rail IC card and mobile phone signaling data. The method comprises the following steps of S1, collecting rail transport passenger IC card data information and carrying out OD matching on pretreatment data; S2, carrying out commuting identification, inputting data of working days, grouping according to users, and determining a commuting rule of each user in the working days: when same inbound site and outbound site days of the user reach 50% of total days, determining that a trip is a commuting trip of the user; S3, calculating a rail transport passenger flow, wherein statistics indexes include a site passenger flow, a line passenger flow, a section passenger flow, a transfer passenger flow, a passenger flow OD, a commuting site passenger flow, a commuting line passenger flow, a commuting site OD passenger flow and a commuting line OD passenger flow; S4, carrying out normal state passenger flow volume analysis and holiday passenger flow volume analysis; and S5, carrying out normal state passenger flow volume prediction and holiday passenger flow volume prediction. By using the method, a rail transport passenger flow volume can be accurately predicted, and the method has an important effect on a reasonable compiling transport power configuration scheme, a passenger flow organization scheme and the like.

Description

Technical field [0001] The invention belongs to the technical field of data analysis, especially the field of rail transit operation, and relates to a rail transit passenger flow prediction method based on rail IC card and mobile phone signaling data. Background technique [0002] Entering the 21st century, with the continuous level of urbanization in my country, urban population density will increase rapidly, and the resulting traffic congestion problem will become more and more severe, which will become one of the important factors restricting economic, social and cultural development. . As an important part of public transportation, urban rail transit will become an effective means of solving urban traffic congestion. Because rail transit has the characteristics of energy saving, land saving, large transportation volume, all-weather, punctuality, pollution-free and safe, etc., it can be concluded that the development of urban rail transit is in line with the principles of sust...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0004] With the increase of passenger flow year by year, although the urban rail transit network continues to expand and improve, it is still difficult to achieve a balance between supply and demand

Images