Petroleum and petrochemical high risk equipment fault risk quantification evaluation method
A technology of equipment failure and evaluation method, applied in the field of risk assessment, can solve problems such as no quantitative evaluation, achieve the effect of enhancing stability and reducing risk probability
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[0060] In order to have a clearer understanding of the technical features, purposes and effects of the present invention, the specific implementation manners of the present invention will now be described with reference to the accompanying drawings.
[0061] Such as figure 1 As shown, the present invention discloses a method for quantitatively evaluating the failure risk of high-risk petroleum and petrochemical equipment. The method includes the following steps:
[0062] S1: Analyze the risk factors of failure modes in petroleum and petrochemical high-risk equipment, and obtain the hierarchical structure of the main failure modes;
[0063] S2: Establish a fuzzy fault tree analysis model and a fuzzy event tree analysis model for high-risk equipment;
[0064] S3: According to the fuzzy fault tree analysis model and the fuzzy event tree analysis model, establish a fuzzy bow-tie model;
[0065] S4: Determine the occurrence probability of each event in the fuzzy fault tree analys...
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