Large-range haze prediction method and system based on atmospheric stability
A stable and large-scale technology, applied in weather forecasting, meteorology, climate sustainability, etc., can solve the problem of less research on haze forecasting, and achieve the effect of clear thinking, accurate forecasting, and strong practicability
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Embodiment 1
[0043]The so-called smog live data in the present embodiment include: smog area range, location of the forecast location and fine particulate matter concentration index; the historical PM2.5 concentration observation data and smog process data from late autumn to early winter include: The time of appearance, development and dissipation of smog, and the evolution data of smog concentration; weather data, weather forecast information, historical weather condition data from late autumn to early winter season, weather condition data of smog development stage, and smog dispersal stage The weather condition data and live weather data include the following meteorological elements: near-surface temperature, humidity, wind speed, wind direction, temperature, humidity and wind field profile in the vertical direction from the ground to the upper floors.
[0044] see figure 2 , the forecasting method of the large-scale haze based on atmospheric stability of the present embodiment, compri...
Embodiment 2
[0062] The present embodiment is the application example of embodiment 1, and the large-scale haze duration forecasting method based on weather conditions of the present embodiment comprises the following steps:
[0063] Select Shijiazhuang, a city in the central and southern regions of the North China Plain where large-scale smog occurs frequently, and take the large-scale smog process from December 30, 2016 to January 7, 2017 as an example to carry out the forecast of the duration of smog, and the forecast start time is 2017 January 2.
[0064] (1) Data collection.
[0065] The collected data mainly include the following:
[0066] Obtained the real situation of smog and haze in and around Shijiazhuang on December 30, 2016 through the China Air Quality Online Monitoring and Analysis Platform, mainly including the haze area (the distance from north to south of the haze area L 1 , east-west distance L 2 ), the position of the forecast location in the haze area (to the northe...
Embodiment 3
[0090] The present invention also provides a computer system, including a memory, a processor, and a computer program stored in the memory and operable on the processor. When the processor executes the computer program, the steps in any of the above embodiments are realized.
[0091] In summary, the present invention can determine the smog development stage where the future weather conditions are located by establishing the smog event model in the forecast area; furthermore, the establishment of the smog maintenance time model can realize accurate forecasting of the duration of the large-scale smog , strong practicability, the method has clear thinking and high accuracy.
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