Bus arrival time prediction method based on GRU neural network

A time prediction and neural network technology, applied in neural learning methods, biological neural network models, neural architectures, etc., can solve the problems of large bus arrival time error fit, failure to reflect the real situation of bus arrival, etc., to achieve improvement The effect of accuracy

Active Publication Date: 2019-06-21
NANTONG UNIVERSITY
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Problems solved by technology

[0004] Aiming at the problem that the error of the bus arrival time prediction in the above-mentioned prior art is large and the fitting degree of its prediction cannot reflect the real situation of the bus arrival, the present invention proposes a method for predicting the bus arrival time based on the GRU neural network, The specific technical scheme is as follows:

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  • Bus arrival time prediction method based on GRU neural network

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[0035] In order to enable those skilled in the art to better understand the solutions of the present invention, the technical solutions in the embodiments of the present invention will be clearly and completely described below in conjunction with the drawings in the embodiments of the present invention.

[0036] refer to figure 1 , in an embodiment of the present invention, a method for predicting bus arrival time based on a GRU neural network is provided, specifically including steps as follows:

[0037] Step 1. Export the historical data from the database to a CSV format file, obtain the original data, and use the HBase distributed database and Spark memory processing technology to analyze and process the original data to remove the confusion, complexity and coefficient of the original data; combine figure 2 , specifically, the database is to store the historical record data of the real-time operation of the bus, wherein the historical record data (ie historical data) is re...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a bus arrival time prediction method based on a GRU neural network. The method comprises: outputting historical data from a database to a CSV format file, acquiring original data, and analyzing the original data by using an HBase distributed database and a Spark memory processing technology to remove hybridity, complexity and coefficient of the original data; on the basis of single attributes and a multi-factor perspective, analyzing and processing the processed original data by using a feature correlation research method to obtain standard time sequence type data; withthe Lasso method, carrying out variable selection on the standard time sequence type data, and rejecting a feature vector with weak correlation in the standard time sequence type data; and constructing a bus arrival prediction model based on a GRU neural network and inputting the standard time sequence type data with the feature vector with weak correlation rejected to the arrival prediction model, thereby realizing bus arrival time prediction operation. Therefore, the accuracy of the bus arrival time prediction is improved effectively.

Description

technical field [0001] The invention relates to the monitoring and arrival time prediction technology of urban public transport, in particular to a method for predicting the arrival time of public transport based on a GRU neural network. Background technique [0002] Public transportation is an important infrastructure related to the national economy and the people's livelihood. The development of an advanced information-based and intelligent public transportation system has positive significance for improving the management and service level of urban public transportation. Bus scheduling management is the core of an advanced bus system, and bus arrival time is a key parameter of bus dynamic scheduling management. Traditional bus scheduling is to simulate the arrival time based on the fixed travel time interval between stations judged by experience. . Usually, the estimated timetable produced by this method has large error and low degree of fitting, and cannot reflect the r...

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Application Information

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Patent Type & Authority Applications(China)
IPC IPC(8): G08G1/01G08G1/123G06N3/04G06N3/08
Inventor 孙玲陆俊天施佺曹阳沈琴琴朱森来
Owner NANTONG UNIVERSITY
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