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Prediction model construction method and device, prediction method and device, equipment and medium

A technology of prediction model and construction method, applied in the field of computer, can solve the problem of large inflow and outflow of power load, and achieve the effect of reducing deviation assessment

Pending Publication Date: 2020-01-03
BOE TECH GRP CO LTD
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Problems solved by technology

[0004] For the above-mentioned empirical method to predict the future power load of industrial enterprises, the difference between the forecast result and the actual power load is large, and it cannot provide a reference for the power sales declaration of power sales enterprises

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  • Prediction model construction method and device, prediction method and device, equipment and medium
  • Prediction model construction method and device, prediction method and device, equipment and medium

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Embodiment Construction

[0035] The application will be further described in detail below in conjunction with the accompanying drawings and embodiments. It should be understood that the specific embodiments described here are only used to explain the relevant disclosure, not to limit the disclosure. It should also be noted that, for the convenience of description, only the parts related to the disclosure are shown in the drawings.

[0036] It should be noted that, in the case of no conflict, the embodiments in the present application and the features in the embodiments can be combined with each other. The present application will be described in detail below with reference to the accompanying drawings and embodiments.

[0037] It can be understood that the power load forecasting method provided in the embodiment of the present application is used for enterprises in industrial production, for medium and long-term power loads in the future, such as power loads in the next month, quarter or year.

[00...

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Abstract

The invention discloses a prediction model construction method and device, a prediction method and device, equipment and a medium. The construction method comprises the steps of obtaining a sequence value of a historical power load of a prediction target; based on a preset value range of model parameters, determining the model parameters by utilizing the correlation characteristics of the sequencevalues; and constructing a prediction model based on the model parameters, with the prediction model being used for predicting the power load of the prediction target in the next time period. According to the embodiment of the invention, the obtained historical power load sequence value of the enterprise user is analyzed. , The model parameters are determined according to the model parameters, and then the prediction model is constructed by utilizing the determined model parameters, so that the electricity selling enterprise can accurately predict the medium and long-term power load of the enterprise in the future by utilizing the constructed prediction model, a reliable basis is provided for the electricity selling enterprise in an electricity selling quantity declaration service, and deviation assessment is reduced.

Description

technical field [0001] The present application generally relates to the field of computer technology, and in particular relates to a forecasting model construction method, forecasting method, device, equipment and media. Background technique [0002] Electric load, also known as "electric load". The sum of the electric power that the electric energy user's electric equipment draws from the power system at a certain moment is called the electric load. According to different power users, the power load involves various industrial loads, agricultural loads and transportation loads. In the field of industrial circuit loads, providing power loads that meet the needs is the basis for maintaining the industrial production of each enterprise. [0003] At present, for the power load of enterprise users in the industry, during the production process, it is necessary to purchase from electricity sales companies, so that the electricity sales companies can provide sufficient electrici...

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Application Information

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IPC IPC(8): G06Q10/04G06Q10/06G06Q50/06
CPCG06Q10/04G06Q10/067G06Q50/06
Inventor 郝吉芳
Owner BOE TECH GRP CO LTD
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