Method and device for predicting charging quantity required by electric vehicle considering urban functional area
A technology of electric vehicles and forecasting methods, which is applied in forecasting, data processing applications, complex mathematical operations, etc., and can solve problems such as inaccurate forecasting results
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Embodiment 1
[0064] A method for predicting the required charging capacity of electric vehicles considering urban functional areas, including steps:
[0065] Step 1, divide the city into different functional areas according to the different functions of the urban plots; the functional areas include: commercial areas, residential areas, office areas, public facilities areas, parks and industrial areas, etc.;
[0066] Step 2, calculate the travel matrix used to represent the arrival rate of electric vehicles in each functional area at each time according to the traffic impedance and attraction coefficient between functional areas;
[0067] The specific method includes steps:
[0068] Introduce a travel matrix to describe the arrival rate of electric vehicles at each time in each functional area (the probability that an electric vehicle entering the grid at this time will end in this area), the travel matrix for:
[0069]
[0070] In the formula, is the arrival rate of the electric ve...
Embodiment 2
[0104] A device for predicting the required charging capacity of electric vehicles considering urban functional areas, including:
[0105] The travel matrix calculation module is used to calculate the travel matrix used to represent the arrival rate of electric vehicles in each functional area at each time according to the traffic impedance and attraction coefficient between urban functional areas;
[0106] The required power prediction module is used to multiply the value of the travel matrix by the number of electric vehicles entering the grid at each time to obtain the number of electric vehicles entering the grid in each functional area at each time, and calculate the required charging capacity of the vehicle according to the distance traveled by the vehicle , and then obtain the required charging capacity of electric vehicles in each functional area at each time.
[0107] Further, the travel matrix is:
[0108]
[0109] In the formula, is the arrival rate of electri...
Embodiment 3
[0130] Such as figure 2 As shown, assume that city A has 10,000 electric vehicles. Divide 24 hours a day into 48 moments, each moment is separated by 0.5 hours, the first moment is 00:00 of the day, and the last moment is 23:30 of the day. The charging power P of a single charging pile is regarded as a constant 8kW, and the battery capacity c of a single electric vehicle max is 80kW·h, and the cruising range is d m It is 400km.
[0131] A method for predicting the required charging capacity of electric vehicles considering urban functional areas, including steps:
[0132] Step 1, divide the city into different functional areas according to the different functions of the urban plots;
[0133] The division of city A is as follows image 3 shown.
[0134] Step 2, using the improved gravity model to calculate the travel matrix;
[0135] The distances between the districts in city A are as follows:
[0136] Table 1A distance between the districts of the city (km)
[0137]...
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