Prediction method, device and automatic prediction system for track estimated arrival time

Abstract

The present disclosure discloses a prediction method, device and automatic prediction system for estimating the arrival time of a track, wherein the method includes: obtaining real-time position information of aircraft entering the prediction area; triggering a pre-established prediction model according to the real-time position information of the aircraft The electronic fence in , calculate the first predicted time T that takes time from the current electronic fence where the aircraft is located to the time it takes to receive the signal to align with the runway d ;According to the alignment information of the aircraft to the runway, obtain the second predicted time T from receiving the alignment signal to actually landing. s ; According to the first prediction time T d and the second predicted time T s , and calculate the arrival time of the aircraft based on the sum of the current time. Therefore, by implementing the prediction scheme disclosed in the present disclosure, the prediction deviation caused by unexpected factors can be effectively reduced, the prediction accuracy of the arrival time of airport flights can be improved, the waste of airport security resources can be avoided, and the security risks caused by inaccurate prediction of arrival time can be eliminated. Hidden danger.

Description

technical field [0001] The present disclosure relates to the field of flight command and coordination in civil aviation airports, and in particular, to a prediction method, device and automatic prediction system for estimating the arrival time of the track. Background technique [0002] At present, the ground support services for all flights at the airport are based on the arrival time of the flight, and the preparations for all support services are arranged according to the scheduled flight time or the expected arrival time. [0003] Usually, the calculation method of the estimated arrival time of the flight is: the actual departure time of the station in front of the flight plus the fixed flight time between terminals. The disadvantage of this method is that it does not refer to factors such as route and aircraft speed, resulting in a large difference between the expected arrival time and the actual arrival time, and even an error of more than 30 minutes, resulting in an i...

AI Technical Summary

Problems solved by technology

[0005] 1) The support personnel waited for the plane to land for a long time, which led to the confusion of ground dispatching and the waste of airport support resources;

[0006] 2) There is no personnel to guarantee the flight after the plane lands, which will not only lower the quality of passenger service, but also cause safety hazards

Therefore, how to calculate the estimated arrival time of the flight more accurately to improve the prediction accuracy is a continuous technical challenge

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