A Modeling of Multiple Uncertain Energy Flows Integrating Active Distribution and Transmission Networks
A technology of active distribution network and transmission network, applied in the direction of circuit devices, AC network circuits, AC networks with the same frequency from different sources, etc.
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[0014] The present invention comprises the following steps:
[0015] 1. Establish an uncertain model of active distribution network and transmission network source and load under energy interconnection and extract its temporal and spatial correlation characteristics.
[0016] Under the energy interconnection, the source and load data originally injected into the active distribution network and transmission network are affected by weather and energy consumption behaviors, and have uncertain characteristics of randomness and fuzziness. According to the uncertainty theory, it is defined as a random fuzzy variable, and obtained Chance measure function. where a i , b i and c i is the fuzzy parameter of the density function
[0017]
[0018] Consider spatio-temporal correlation: After obtaining multi-energy injection active distribution network power and transmission network source and load prediction values through stochastic fuzzy simulation, then use auto regression movi...
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